Mets vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, April 25, 2023

April 25, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The New York Mets (14-9) are favorites (-205) on the moneyline when they square off against the Washington Nationals (7-14) Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET, live on SNY.

Jose Butto gets the starting nod for New York while Josiah Gray is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

Mets odds to win: -205
Nationals odds to win: +173
Spread: Mets -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, April 25, 2023
Time: 7:10 PM ET
TV: SNY

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Who Will Win Mets vs. Nationals?

Mets and Nationals Betting Trends

The Mets have compiled an 11-5 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 68.8% of those games).

New York has played as moneyline favorites of -205 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.

The Nationals have been underdogs in 21 games this season and won seven (33.3%) of those contests.

Washington is 4-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +173 or more on the moneyline.

The Mets have played in 23 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 10 times (10-12-1).

The Nationals’ games have gone over the total in nine of their 21 chances.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets have the No. 9 offense in MLB action scoring 4.9 runs per game (112 total runs).

New York ranks 14th in MLB action with 26 total home runs.

The Mets are 17th in MLB with a .242 batting average.

New York’s hitters strike out 7.3 times per game, the second-fewest strikeouts in MLB.

The 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Mets pitching staff ranks 17th in the majors.

New York has a 4.16 team ERA that ranks 14th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Nationals Stats & Insights

The Nationals are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 26th with just 76 total runs (3.6 per game) this season.

Washington’s 10 home runs rank last in MLB this season.

The Nationals’ .249 batting average ranks 13th in the league this season.

Washington has the fewest strikeouts in MLB, fanning only 6.9 times per game on average.

The Nationals average just 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, worst in the league.

Washington pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.26 ERA this year, which ranks 15th in MLB.

Mets Key Players to Watch

Butto makes his first start of the season for the Mets.

Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs (10) and runs batted in (23) this season while batting .267.

Brandon Nimmo leads New York in batting with a .350 average while slugging two homers and driving in 13 runs.

Francisco Lindor has 19 hits this season and a slash line of .221/.333/.465.

Jeff McNeil has 24 hits and an OBP of .418 to go with a slugging percentage of .407 this season.

Nationals Key Players to Watch

Gray (0-4) will take the mound for the Nationals, his fifth start of the season.

Jeimer Candelario leads the Nationals with three home runs and 11 runs batted in.

Keibert Ruiz has four doubles, a home run and five walks while hitting .275.

Victor Robles has a team-high batting average of .290.

Alex Call has a double, a home run and 11 walks while hitting .200.

Mets and Nationals Injuries

Mets: Tim Locastro: 10 Day IL (Back spasms), Omar Narváez: 10 Day IL (Calf), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), Stephen Nogosek: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Left ankle), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)

Nationals: Ildemaro Vargas: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Corey Dickerson: 10 Day IL (Calf), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Carter Kieboom: 10 Day IL (Finger), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)