Brewers vs. Tigers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 26, 2023

April 26, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Milwaukee Brewers (15-9) will be out to avoid the sweep when they host the Detroit Tigers (9-13) to complete a three-game series. Sportsbooks have listed the Brewers as -208 favorites for the series finale, while the Tigers are +174 underdogs.

Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta and Detroit’s Michael Lorenzen have been named the starters for this contest.

Brewers vs. Tigers Odds

Brewers odds to win: -208
Tigers odds to win: +174
Spread: Brewers -1.5
Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, April 26, 2023
Time: 1:40 PM ET
TV: BSWI

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Who Will Win Brewers vs. Tigers?

Brewers and Tigers Betting Trends

The Brewers have won 61.5% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (8-5).

Milwaukee has never played a game this season with moneyline odds of -208 or shorter.

This season, the Tigers have won nine out of the 22 games, or 40.9%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

This season, Detroit has won three of its eight games when it’s the underdog by at least +174 on the moneyline.

The Brewers have played in 24 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 11 times (11-13-0).

The Tigers and their opponents have hit the over in nine of their 22 games with a total this season.

Brewers Stats & Insights

The Brewers rank 12th in runs scored with 113, 4.7 per game.

Milwaukee ranks eighth-best in baseball with 30 total home runs.

The Brewers have the 14th-ranked batting average in the majors (.247).

Milwaukee’s 9.4 strikeouts per game rank 25th in the majors.

The 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Brewers pitching staff ranks 27th in the majors.

Milwaukee’s 3.52 team ERA ranks seventh across all MLB pitching staffs.

Tigers Stats & Insights

The Tigers have scored the fewest runs in the league this season with just 68 (3.1 per game).

Detroit ranks 27th in Major League Baseball with just 17 home runs as a team.

The Tigers have a team batting average of just .216 this season, which ranks 29th among MLB teams.

Detroit ranks 17th in strikeouts per game (9.6) among MLB offenses.

The Tigers strike out 8.1 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 25th in MLB.

Detroit pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.65 ERA this year, which ranks 22nd in MLB.

Brewers Key Players to Watch

Peralta gets the start for the Brewers, his fifth of the season. He is 2-2 with a 3.97 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings pitched.

Rowdy Tellez is batting .230 this season with a team-high eight home runs and 18 RBI.

Willy Adames has 22 hits and an OBP of .371 to go with a slugging percentage of .442 this season.

Brian Anderson leads Milwaukee in runs batted in (18) this season. He has a .265 batting average and a .494 slugging percentage.

Christian Yelich has 22 hits and an OBP of .317 to go with a slugging percentage of .366 this season.

Tigers Key Players to Watch

Lorenzen will get the start for the Tigers, his third of the season.

Spencer Torkelson is batting .229 with four doubles, two home runs and six walks.

Nick Maton has shown his power as he paces his team with four home runs and 12 RBI.

Kerry Carpenter has launched a team-high four home runs.

Javier Baez is batting .234 with four doubles and six walks.

Brewers and Tigers Injuries

Brewers: Luis Urías: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Garrett Mitchell: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Tyrone Taylor: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Brandon Woodruff: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Gus Varland: 15 Day IL (Hand), Matt Bush: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Adrian Houser: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jason Alexander: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Aaron Ashby: 60 Day IL (Labrum)

Tigers: Austin Meadows: 10 Day IL (Anxiety), Matt Manning: 15 Day IL (Foot), Beau Brieske: 15 Day IL (Arm), Trey Wingenter: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Casey Mize: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tarik Skubal: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Freddy Pacheco: 60 Day IL (Elbow)