Mets vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, April 26, 2023

April 26, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The New York Mets (14-10) stumble into Wednesday’s matchup with the Washington Nationals (8-14) looking to break a three-game losing streak. The contest starts at 7:10 PM ET on MLB Network with the Mets listed as -217 favorites to right the ship.

Kodai Senga will get the ball for New York while Washington will counter with MacKenzie Gore.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds

Mets odds to win: -217
Nationals odds to win: +179
Spread: Mets -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, April 26, 2023
Time: 7:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Mets vs. Nationals?

Mets and Nationals Betting Trends

The Mets have won 11 of the 17 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (64.7%).

New York has played as moneyline favorites of -217 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.

The Nationals have won eight, or 36.4%, of the 22 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Washington is 4-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +179 or more on the moneyline.

The Mets have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 10 times this season for a 10-13-1 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Nationals have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in nine of 22 chances this season.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets rank 14th in runs scored with 112, 4.7 per game.

New York is 18th in MLB action with 26 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Mets rank 18th in MLB with a .238 batting average.

New York’s hitters strike out 7.5 times per game, the third-lowest average in the majors.

The Mets pitching staff ranks 17th in the majors with a collective 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

New York has a 4.20 team ERA that ranks 15th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Nationals Stats & Insights

The Nationals are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 28th with just 81 total runs (3.7 per game) this season.

Washington has hit just 11 homers this season, which ranks last in the majors.

The Nationals’ .251 batting average ranks 13th in the league this season.

No team has fewer strikeouts this season than Washington, which has struck out only 6.8 times per game on average.

The Nationals have a 7.5 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 29th in baseball.

Washington has pitched to a 4.06 ERA this season, which ranks 13th in baseball.

Mets Key Players to Watch

The Mets will send Senga (3-0) out to make his fifth start of the season. He is 3-0 with a 4.29 ERA and 25 strikeouts through 21 2/3 innings pitched.

Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs (10) and runs batted in (23) this season while batting .255.

Brandon Nimmo’s batting average of .349 leads all New York hitters this season.

Francisco Lindor is slashing .222/.330/.456 this season for the Mets.

Jeff McNeil is batting .282 with an OBP of .402 and a slugging percentage of .388 this season.

Nationals Key Players to Watch

The Nationals’ Gore (2-1) will make his fifth start of the season.

Keibert Ruiz leads the Nationals with a .301 batting average.

Jeimer Candelario has put his power on display as he paces his team with three home runs and 11 runs batted in.

Victor Robles has three doubles, a triple and six walks while hitting .288.

Alex Call has a double, a home run and 13 walks while hitting .222.

Mets and Nationals Injuries

Mets: Omar Narváez: 10 Day IL (Calf), Tim Locastro: 10 Day IL (Back spasms), Stephen Nogosek: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Left ankle), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)

Nationals: Corey Dickerson: 10 Day IL (Calf), Ildemaro Vargas: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Carter Kieboom: 10 Day IL (Finger), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)