Braves vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 27, 2023

April 27, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Ronald Acuna Jr., batting .363 this season, leads the Atlanta Braves (17-8) into a matchup with Luis Arraez (.421 AVG) and the Miami Marlins (12-13). The Braves are -191 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Truist Park, beginning at 12:20 PM ET live on MLB Network.

Kyle Wright starts for Atlanta while Braxton Garrett is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Marlins Odds

Braves odds to win: -191
Marlins odds to win: +162
Spread: Braves -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, April 27, 2023
Time: 12:20 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Braves vs. Marlins?

Braves and Marlins Betting Trends

The Braves have been favored on the moneyline 23 total times this season. They’ve gone 15-8 in those games.

Atlanta has won all seven games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -191 or shorter.

The Marlins have entered the game as underdogs 15 times this season and won six, or 40%, of those games.

Miami is 2-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +162 or more on the moneyline.

The Braves have played in 25 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 15 times (15-9-1).

Games involving the Marlins have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 10 of 24 chances this season.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves have the No. 5 offense in MLB action scoring 5.2 runs per game (130 total runs).

Atlanta averages 1.6 home runs per game to rank third in baseball with 40 total home runs.

The Braves are eighth in the majors with a .259 batting average.

Atlanta’s 9.5 strikeouts per game are the third-most in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Braves has a collective 9.2 K/9, which ranks 11th in the majors.

Atlanta has the fourth-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.38).

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 29th with just 80 total runs (3.2 per game) this season.

Miami ranks 19th in Major League Baseball with 26 home runs.

The Marlins’ .241 batting average ranks 18th in the league this season.

Miami ranks 15th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.9 Ks per contest.

The Marlins strike out 8.4 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 23rd in MLB.

Miami pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.60 ERA this year, which ranks 20th in MLB.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Wright makes the start for the Braves, his fourth of the season. He is 0-1 with a 5.93 ERA and 11 strikeouts through 13 2/3 innings pitched.

Acuna leads Atlanta with a .363 batting average. He’s also hit four homers and has 12 RBI.

Ozzie Albies leads Atlanta in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (23) this season while batting .268.

Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs with seven. He’s driven in 21 runs and is slugging .557.

Sean Murphy has collected 20 hits this season and has an OBP of .411. He’s slugging .616 on the year.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

The Marlins’ Garrett (1-0) will make his fourth start of the season.

Arraez leads the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .421.

Jorge Soler has hit five home runs to pace his team.

Jon Berti has four doubles, two home runs and six walks while batting .237.

Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .295 with five doubles, two home runs and six walks.

Braves and Marlins Injuries

Braves: Orlando Arcia: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Michael Harris II: 10 Day IL (Back), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)