Phillies vs. Mariners Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 27, 2023

The Philadelphia Phillies (12-13) and Seattle Mariners (11-13) meet Thursday at Citizens Bank Park, starting at 1:05 PM ET on NBCS-PH. The Phillies are -114 moneyline favorites for the contest, however, the Mariners are favored against the spread of 1.5 runs with +160 odds.

Philadelphia’s Matt Strahm gets the start, and he’ll go against Seattle’s George Kirby.

Phillies vs. Mariners Odds

• Phillies odds to win: -114
• Mariners odds to win: -105
• Spread: Mariners -1.5
• Total: 8.5 runs

Phillies vs. Mariners Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Thursday, April 27, 2023
• Time: 1:05 PM ET
• TV: NBCS-PH

Who Will Win Phillies vs. Mariners?

Phillies and Mariners Betting Trends

The Phillies are 9-7 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 56.2% of those games).

Philadelphia has gone 9-6 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -114 or shorter (60% winning percentage).

This season, the Mariners have been the underdog seven times and won three of those games.

Seattle has entered six games this season as the underdog by -105 or more and is 3-3 in those contests.

In the 25 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Phillies, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 12 times (12-13-0).

So far this season, the Mariners and their opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 24 games with a total.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies are the 14th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.5 runs per game (113 total).

Philadelphia is 14th in MLB play with 28 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Phillies have a league-high .279 batting average.

Philadelphia strikes out 9.3 times per game, the No. 23 mark in the majors.

The Phillies pitching staff ranks seventh in MLB with a collective 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Philadelphia’s 4.79 team ERA ranks 24th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Mariners Stats & Insights

The Mariners rank 19th in the majors with 108 total runs scored this season.

Seattle ranks 19th in Major League Baseball with 26 home runs.

The Mariners have a team batting average of just .226 this season, which ranks 26th among MLB teams.

Seattle ranks 18th in strikeouts per game (9.4) among MLB offenses.

The Mariners strike out nine batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 14th in MLB.

Seattle has pitched to a 3.86 ERA this season, which ranks 10th in baseball.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

Strahm gets the start for the Phillies, his fifth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 18 2/3 innings pitched.

Nicholas Castellanos is batting .333 with three home runs and 16 RBI for Philadelphia this season.

Brandon Marsh’s batting average of .351 leads all Philadelphia hitters this season.

Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in runs batted in (20) this season. He has a .298 batting average and a .447 slugging percentage.

Bryson Stott has 36 hits and an OBP of .373 to go with a slugging percentage of .467 this season.

Mariners Key Players to Watch

The Mariners will send Kirby (2-1) to the mound for his fifth start this season.

Ty France has a team-best 15 runs batted in.

Jarred Kelenic has hit seven home runs while hitting .325. Both lead his team.

Julio Rodriguez is hitting .233 with five doubles, a triple, five home runs and eight walks.

J.P. Crawford is batting .271 with seven doubles, a home run and 16 walks.

Phillies and Mariners Injuries

Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Andrew Bellatti: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl), Taijuan Walker: day-to-day (Forearm)

Mariners: Dylan Moore: 10 Day IL (Olique), Taylor Trammell: 10 Day IL (Hand), Andres Munoz: 15 Day IL (Deltoid), Robbie Ray: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Evan White: 60 Day IL (Adductor)

Phillies vs. Mariners Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Mariners 5

Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

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