Twins vs. Royals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 27, 2023

April 27, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Following a two-homer game in a loss to the Yankees, Jose Miranda leads the Minnesota Twins (14-11) into action as -216 favorites against the Kansas City Royals (6-19). First pitch from Target Field at 7:40 PM ET on Thursday, live on BSN.

Tyler Mahle will get the ball for Minnesota while Kansas City will counter with Zack Greinke.

Twins vs. Royals Odds

Twins odds to win: -216
Royals odds to win: +179
Spread: Twins -1.5
Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, April 27, 2023
Time: 7:40 PM ET
TV: BSN

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Who Will Win Twins vs. Royals?

Twins and Royals Betting Trends

The Twins have been the moneyline favorite 16 total times this season. They’ve gone 12-4 in those games.

Minnesota has gone 1-2 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -216 or shorter (33.3% winning percentage).

The Royals have entered the game as underdogs 24 times this season and won six, or 25%, of those games.

Kansas City is 1-6 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +179 or more on the moneyline.

In the 25 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Twins, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 10 times (10-13-2).

The Royals and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 12 of their 25 opportunities.

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins are the 18th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.4 runs per game (109 total).

Minnesota is 10th in MLB play with 31 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.

The Twins rank 23rd in MLB with a .230 batting average.

Minnesota’s 9.4 strikeouts per game rank 22nd in the majors.

The 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Twins pitching staff ranks second in MLB.

Minnesota has a 3.52 team ERA that ranks seventh across all MLB pitching staffs.

Royals Stats & Insights

The Royals have scored 82 runs (just 3.3 per game) this season, which ranks 28th in MLB.

Kansas City has hit just 18 homers this season, which ranks 26th in the majors.

The Royals rank 28th in MLB with a team batting average of just .219.

Kansas City ranks 18th in strikeouts per game (nine) among MLB offenses.

The Royals strike out 8.5 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 19th in MLB.

Kansas City has the 28th-ranked ERA (5.26) in the majors this season.

Twins Key Players to Watch

The Twins will send Mahle (1-2) to the mound for his fifth start of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.32 ERA and 22 strikeouts through 21 2/3 innings pitched.

Joey Gallo is batting .238 this season with a team-high seven home runs.

Miranda has 23 hits and an OBP of .305 to go with a slugging percentage of .323 this season.

Trevor Larnach leads Minnesota in RBI with 17 while batting .235 with three home runs.

Byron Buxton leads Minnesota in batting average (.244) this season while adding four home runs and 10 RBI.

Royals Key Players to Watch

Greinke (0-3) will take to the mound for the Royals and make his sixth start of the season.

Vinnie Pasquantino leads the Royals with four home runs and has racked up a team-high batting average of .284.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s four home runs pace his team.

Salvador Perez has seven doubles, two home runs and three walks while hitting .244.

Edward Olivares is hitting .250 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs and four walks.

Twins and Royals Injuries

Twins: Kyle Farmer: 10 Day IL (Face), Alex Kirilloff: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kenta Maeda: day-to-day (Undisclosed)

Royals: Drew Waters: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Kris Bubic: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Daniel Lynch: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Jake Brentz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Angel Zerpa: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Diego Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)