Braves vs. Mets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, April 28, 2023

Apr 28, 2023

Ronald Acuna Jr., batting .352 this season, leads the Atlanta Braves (17-9) into a matchup with Brandon Nimmo (.341 AVG) and the New York Mets (15-11). The Braves are -136 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Citi Field, beginning at 7:10 PM ET live on MLB Network.

Atlanta’s Max Fried gets the start, and he’ll go against New York’s David Peterson.

Braves vs. Mets Odds

Braves odds to win: -136

Mets odds to win: +115

Spread: Braves -1.5

Total: 7.5 runs

Braves vs. Mets Promo Codes

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, April 28, 2023

Time: 7:10 PM ET

TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Braves vs. Mets?

Braves and Mets Betting Trends

The Braves have put together a 15-9 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 62.5% of those games).

Atlanta has a 13-3 record (winning 81.2% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -136 or shorter.

The Mets have entered the game as underdogs seven times this season and won three of those games.

New York has played as an underdog of +115 or more twice this season and split those games.

The Braves have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 26 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 16 of those games (16-9-1).

So far this season, the Mets and their opponents have hit the over in 11 of their 26 games with a total.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves are the sixth-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 5.2 runs per game (134 total).

Atlanta is third-best in MLB action with 40 total home runs.

The Braves rank ninth in MLB with a .255 batting average.

Atlanta’s 9.5 strikeouts per game are the third-most in baseball.

The Braves pitching staff ranks seventh in MLB with a collective 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Atlanta has a 3.44 team ERA that ranks seventh among all MLB pitching staffs.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets have scored 122 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB.

New York has hit 27 homers this season, which ranks 19th in the majors.

The Mets’ .242 batting average ranks 18th in the league this season.

New York is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking fifth with an average of 7.7 strikeouts per game.

The Mets have an 8.8 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 17th in the majors.

New York has the 16th-ranked ERA (4.30) in the majors this season.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Fried makes the start for the Braves, his fourth of the season. He is 1-0 with a .60 ERA and 11 strikeouts in 15 2/3 innings pitched.

Acuna leads Atlanta with a .352 batting average. He’s also hit four homers and has 13 RBI.

Ozzie Albies leads Atlanta in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (23) this season while batting .257.

Matt Olson is slugging .540 this season, with a team-high seven home runs. He’s also collected 22 RBI.

Sean Murphy is batting .263 with an OBP of .404 and a slugging percentage of .592 this season.

Mets Key Players to Watch

The Mets’ Peterson (1-3) will make his sixth start of the season.

Pete Alonso leads the Mets in home runs (10) and runs batted in (25).

Nimmo’s .341 batting average paces his team.

Francisco Lindor has 11 doubles, four home runs and 11 walks while batting .222.

Jeff McNeil has six doubles, a triple, a home run and 14 walks while batting .301.

Braves and Mets Injuries

Braves: Orlando Arcia: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

Mets: Omar Narváez: 10 Day IL (Calf), Tim Locastro: 10 Day IL (Back spasms), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Stephen Nogosek: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Left ankle), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)