Padres vs. Giants Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 29, 2023

April 28, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Francisco Giants (11-14) enter Saturday’s matchup with the San Diego Padres (13-14) following their 3-1 series victory over the Cardinals. The Padres, coming off of a series loss against the Cubs, are listed as -193 favorites for Game 1. The series begins at Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu, starting at 6:05 PM ET on MLB Network.

San Diego’s Joe Musgrove and San Francisco’s Sean Manaea have been named the starters for this contest.

Padres vs. Giants Odds

Padres odds to win: -193
Giants odds to win: +161
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 15.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, April 29, 2023
Time: 6:05 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Giants?

Padres and Giants Betting Trends

The Padres have been favored on the moneyline 15 total times this season. They’ve gone 7-8 in those games.

San Diego has a 2-2 record (winning 50% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -193 or shorter.

This season, the Giants have been the underdog 14 times and won six, or 42.9%, of those games.

San Francisco has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +161 odds on it winning this game.

The Padres have had an over/under set by bookmakers 27 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 11 of those games (11-14-2).

The Giants’ games have gone over the total in 12 of their 25 chances.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres are the 25th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 3.7 runs per game (99 total).

San Diego ranks 18th in baseball with 28 total home runs.

The Padres are last in the majors with a .215 batting average.

San Diego strikes out 8.7 times per game, the No. 15 average in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Padres has a collective 8.4 K/9, which ranks 23rd in MLB.

San Diego’s 4.46 team ERA ranks 18th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Giants Stats & Insights

The Giants rank 20th in the majors with 111 total runs scored this season.

San Francisco ranks fourth in Major League Baseball with 38 home runs.

The Giants rank 20th in MLB with a .239 team batting average.

San Francisco ranks last in strikeouts per game (10.6) among MLB offenses.

The Giants have a 9.1 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 12th in the majors.

San Francisco has the 18th-ranked ERA (4.46) in the majors this season.

Padres Key Players to Watch

The Padres are sending Musgrove (1-0) to the mound to make his second start of the season.

Xander Bogaerts leads San Diego in batting average (.316) and home runs (five) this season, while also chipping in with 12 RBI.

Juan Soto is batting .183 with an OBP of .356 and a slugging percentage of .344 this season.

Jake Cronenworth has collected 19 base hits, an OBP of .298 and a slugging percentage of .433 this season.

Trent Grisham is batting .189 with an OBP of .305 and a slugging percentage of .400 this season.

Giants Key Players to Watch

Manaea (0-1) will take the mound for the Giants, his fourth start of the season.

Thairo Estrada has a team-best batting average of .326.

Mike Yastrzemski has hit five home runs to lead his team.

Wilmer Flores is hitting .267 with three doubles, four home runs and five walks.

LaMonte Wade Jr is batting .238 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs and 18 walks.

Padres and Giants Injuries

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

Giants: Austin Slater: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Darin Ruf: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Mitch Haniger: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Alex Wood: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Roberto Pérez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luke Jackson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis González: 60 Day IL (Back), Thomas Szapucki: 60 Day IL (Left arm), Bryce Johnson: 7 Day IL (Concussion), Joey Bart: day-to-day (Groin)