Astros vs. Phillies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 29, 2023

April 29, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies (14-13) will vie for their fourth straight victory when they visit the Houston Astros (14-12) on Saturday at 5:10 PM ET on MLB Network. The Astros are listed as -134 favorites to stop the streak, while the Phillies are +114 underdogs to keep their momentum.

Houston’s Cristian Javier and Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler have been named the starters for this contest.

Astros vs. Phillies Odds

Astros odds to win: -134
Phillies odds to win: +114
Spread: Astros -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, April 29, 2023
Time: 5:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Astros vs. Phillies?

Astros and Phillies Betting Trends

The Astros have a 7-9 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 43.8% of those games).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -134 or shorter, Houston has gone 6-8 (42.9%).

This season, the Phillies have been the underdog 10 times and won four of those games.

Philadelphia has entered five games this season as the underdog by +114 or more and is 2-3 in those contests.

The Astros have played in 26 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 15 times (15-10-1).

So far this season, the Phillies and their opponents have hit the over in 12 of their 27 games with a total.

Astros Stats & Insights

The Astros rank 12th in runs scored with 123, 4.7 per game.

Houston is 23rd in MLB action with 25 total home runs.

The Astros have the 15th-ranked batting average in the league (.246).

Houston strikes out 8.2 times per game, the 10th-best average in MLB.

The 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Astros pitching staff ranks fourth in MLB.

Houston’s 3.16 team ERA ranks second across all MLB pitching staffs.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies have scored the 18th-most runs in the league this season with 117 (4.3 per game).

Philadelphia has hit 29 homers this season, which ranks 17th in the majors.

The Phillies’ .274 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking third in MLB.

Philadelphia ranks 22nd with an average of 9.1 strikeouts per game.

The Phillies strike out 9.4 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, ninth-best in MLB.

Philadelphia pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.46 ERA this year, which ranks 18th in MLB.

Astros Key Players to Watch

Javier makes the start for the Astros, his sixth of the season. He is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA and 29 strikeouts in 28 2/3 innings pitched.

Kyle Tucker has been key for Houston with five home runs, 19 RBI and a batting average of .289 this season.

Alex Bregman has 22 hits and an OBP of .353 to go with a slugging percentage of .354 this season.

Yordan Alvarez leads the club in homers (six) and runs batted in (27) this season.

Jeremy Pena is batting .240 with an OBP of .301 and a slugging percentage of .452 this season.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

Wheeler (2-1) will take the mound for the Phillies, his sixth start of the season.

Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .320 with 10 doubles, three home runs and 10 walks.

Brandon Marsh is hitting .346 to pace his team.

Alec Bohm has racked up a team-high 20 runs batted in.

Kyle Schwarber has shown off his power as he leads his team with six home runs.

Astros and Phillies Injuries

Astros: Chas McCormick: 10 Day IL (Back), Jose Altuve: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Michael Brantley: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Lance McCullers Jr.: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Parker Mushinski: 15 Day IL (Spine)

Phillies: Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Bryce Harper: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Andrew Bellatti: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl), Taijuan Walker: day-to-day (Forearm)