Braves vs. Mets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, April 29, 2023

April 29, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Saturday when the Atlanta Braves (18-9) and New York Mets (15-12) take to the field at 4:05 PM ET, live on FOX. Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .352 for the Braves (-173 favorites on the moneyline) while Brandon Nimmo leads the underdog Mets (+147) with a .330 average.

Spencer Strider will get the ball for Atlanta while New York will counter with Tylor Megill.

Braves vs. Mets Odds

Braves odds to win: -173
Mets odds to win: +147
Spread: Braves -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, April 29, 2023
Time: 4:05 PM ET
TV: FOX

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Who Will Win Braves vs. Mets?

Braves and Mets Betting Trends

The Braves have been favored on the moneyline 25 total times this season. They’ve finished 16-9 in those games.

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -173 or shorter, Atlanta has a 7-2 record (winning 77.8% of its games).

The Mets have entered the game as underdogs eight times this season and won three of those games.

New York has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +147.

In the 27 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Braves, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 16 times (16-10-1).

So far this season, the Mets and their opponents have hit the over in 11 of their 27 games with a total.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves are the fifth-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 5.1 runs per game (138 total).

Atlanta averages 1.5 home runs per game to rank third in MLB play with 41 total home runs.

The Braves are ninth in MLB with a .255 batting average.

Atlanta’s 9.4 strikeouts per game are the third-most in baseball.

The Braves pitching staff ranks sixth in the majors with a collective 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Atlanta’s 3.37 team ERA ranks fifth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets rank 14th in the majors with 122 total runs scored this season.

New York ranks 19th in Major League Baseball with 27 home runs.

The Mets have a team batting average of .240 this season, which ranks 19th among MLB teams.

New York is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking seventh with an average of 7.7 strikeouts per game.

The Mets average the 17th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.9) in the league this season.

New York has the 17th-ranked ERA (4.36) in the majors this season.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Strider (3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 49 strikeouts in 30 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Braves, his sixth of the season.

Acuna leads Atlanta with a batting average of .352. He’s also hit four home runs with 14 RBI.

Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (25) this season while batting .252.

Ozzie Albies has collected 26 base hits, an OBP of .304 and a slugging percentage of .495 this season.

Sean Murphy is batting .256 with an OBP of .396 and a slugging percentage of .577 this season.

Mets Key Players to Watch

The Mets will send Megill (3-1) to the mound for his sixth start this season.

Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 10 home runs and 25 runs batted in.

Nimmo has a club-leading .330 batting average.

Jeff McNeil has six doubles, a triple, a home run and 15 walks while hitting .298.

Francisco Lindor has 11 doubles, four home runs and 11 walks while batting .218.

Braves and Mets Injuries

Braves: Orlando Arcia: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

Mets: Omar Narváez: 10 Day IL (Calf), Tim Locastro: 10 Day IL (Back spasms), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), Stephen Nogosek: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Left ankle), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)