Blue Jays vs. Mariners Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 30, 2023

April 30, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Matt Chapman, batting .372 this season, leads the Toronto Blue Jays (18-9) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Jarred Kelenic (.322 AVG) and the Seattle Mariners (11-16). Chapman and the Blue Jays are -208 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Rogers Centre, beginning at 1:37 PM ET live on SN1.

Chris Bassitt starts for Toronto while Marco Gonzales is Seattle’s starter for the contest.

Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds

Blue Jays odds to win: -208
Mariners odds to win: +173
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023
Time: 1:37 PM ET
TV: SN1

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Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Mariners?

Blue Jays and Mariners Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been favored on the moneyline 18 total times this season. They’ve finished 13-5 in those games.

Toronto has a record of 4-1 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -208 or shorter (80% winning percentage).

The Mariners have entered the game as underdogs 10 times this season and won three of those games.

Seattle has played as an underdog of +173 or more once this season and lost that game.

In the 27 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Blue Jays, they have combined with opponents to go over the total nine times (9-16-2).

The Mariners and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 13 of their 27 opportunities.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays rank 13th in runs scored with 124, 4.6 per game.

Toronto ranks 18th in MLB with 30 total home runs.

The Blue Jays are 10th in the majors with a .255 batting average.

Toronto strikes out 8 times per game, the fifth-best average in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitching staff is second in the majors with a collective 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings.

Toronto has the 11th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.77).

Mariners Stats & Insights

The Mariners rank 22nd in the majors with 110 total runs scored this season.

Seattle ranks 19th in Major League Baseball with 27 home runs.

The Mariners rank 29th in MLB with a team batting average of just .219.

Seattle is a team with a lot of swing and miss this season, ranking 29th with an average of 9.9 strikeouts per game.

The Mariners have an 8.9 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 14th in the majors.

Seattle has the 10th-best ERA (3.61) in the majors this season.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Bassitt (3-2 with a 4.82 ERA and 21 strikeouts in 28 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Blue Jays, his sixth of the season.

Chapman leads Toronto in batting average (.372), home runs (five) and runs batted in (19) this season.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads Toronto in home runs with five while driving in 15 runs and slugging .509.

Bo Bichette is slugging .491 this season, with a team-high five home runs. He’s also collected 15 RBI.

Whit Merrifield has collected 23 hits this season and has an OBP of .383. He’s slugging .423 on the year.

Mariners Key Players to Watch

Gonzales (2-0) will take the mound for the Mariners, his fifth start of the season.

Kelenic has racked up a team-high batting average of .322, while leading the Mariners in home runs (seven).

Ty France has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 15 runs batted in.

Julio Rodriguez is hitting .239 with six doubles, a triple, five home runs and eight walks.

J.P. Crawford has seven doubles, a home run and 17 walks while batting .238.

Blue Jays and Mariners Injuries

Blue Jays: Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Mariners: Dylan Moore: 10 Day IL (Olique), Andres Munoz: 15 Day IL (Deltoid), Robbie Ray: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Evan White: 60 Day IL (Adductor), Julio Rodríguez: day-to-day (Back)