Orioles vs. Tigers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 30, 2023

April 30, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Baltimore Orioles will take the field against the Detroit Tigers (10-16) on Sunday. The game begins at 1:40 PM ET on BSDET, with the Orioles listed as -153 favorites on the moneyline.

Kyle Bradish will get the ball for Baltimore while Detroit will counter with Spencer Turnbull.

Orioles vs. Tigers Odds

Orioles odds to win: -153
Tigers odds to win: +131
Spread: Orioles -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023
Time: 1:40 PM ET
TV: BSDET

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Who Will Win Orioles vs. Tigers?

Orioles and Tigers Betting Trends

The Orioles have won 80% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (12-3).

Baltimore has gone 8-2 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -153 or shorter (80% winning percentage).

The Tigers have been underdogs in 25 games this season and won nine (36%) of those contests.

Detroit has entered 16 games this season as the underdog by +131 or more and is 4-12 in those contests.

The Orioles have played in 27 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 16 times (16-10-1).

The Tigers’ games have gone over the total in 12 of their 26 chances.

Orioles Stats & Insights

The Orioles have the No. 7 offense in baseball scoring 5.3 runs per game (142 total runs).

Baltimore averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank 14th in MLB action with 32 total home runs .

The Orioles have the eighth-best batting average in the majors (.256).

Baltimore strikes out 8 times per game, the sixth-fewest average in baseball.

The 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Orioles pitching staff ranks 10th in MLB.

Baltimore has the 14th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.27).

Tigers Stats & Insights

The Tigers have scored the fewest runs in the league this season with just 85 (3.3 per game).

Detroit ranks 27th in Major League Baseball with just 19 home runs as a team.

The Tigers have a team batting average of just .221 this season, which ranks 28th among MLB teams.

Detroit ranks 25th with an average of 10 strikeouts per game.

The Tigers strike out just 7.9 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, which ranks 26th in MLB.

Detroit has pitched to a 4.84 ERA this season, which ranks 23rd in baseball.

Orioles Key Players to Watch

Bradish (1-1 with a 6.30 ERA and nine strikeouts in 10 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Orioles, his fourth of the season.

Jorge Mateo has been key for Baltimore with 24 hits, an OBP of .403 plus a slugging percentage of .647.

Cedric Mullins leads Baltimore in runs batted in (21) this season. He’s batting .255 while slugging .436.

Adley Rutschman has 29 hits this season and a slash line of .293/.419/.434.

Ryan Mountcastle leads Baltimore in home runs with six while driving in 20 runs and slugging .426.

Tigers Key Players to Watch

Turnbull (1-3) will take the mound for the Tigers, his sixth start of the season.

Spencer Torkelson has four doubles, two home runs and eight walks while hitting .211.

Nick Maton has hit four home runs with 13 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.

Zach McKinstry is batting .296 with five doubles, two home runs and four walks.

Matt Vierling has a club-best .286 batting average.

Orioles and Tigers Injuries

Orioles: Mychal Givens: 15 Day IL (Knee), Dillon Tate: 15 Day IL (Elbow), John Means: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Tigers: Kerry Carpenter: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Austin Meadows: 10 Day IL (Anxiety), Trey Wingenter: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Beau Brieske: 15 Day IL (Arm), Matt Manning: 60 Day IL (Foot), Casey Mize: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tarik Skubal: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Freddy Pacheco: 60 Day IL (Elbow)