Padres vs. Giants Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, April 30, 2023

April 30, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Following a two-homer game last time out, Manny Machado leads the San Diego Padres (14-14) into action as -150 favorites against the San Francisco Giants (11-15). First pitch from Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu at 4:05 PM ET on Sunday, live on MLB Network.

Yu Darvish starts for San Diego while Alex Cobb is San Francisco’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Giants Odds

Padres odds to win: -150
Giants odds to win: +128
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 19.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023
Time: 4:05 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Giants?

Padres and Giants Betting Trends

The Padres have won 50% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (8-8).

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -150 or shorter, San Diego has a record of 4-7 (36.4%).

The Giants have entered the game as underdogs 15 times this season and won six, or 40%, of those games.

San Francisco has a record of 1-4 when it’s set as an underdog of +128 or more by oddsmakers this season.

The Padres have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 28 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 12 of those games (12-14-2).

The Giants and their opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 26 games with a total this season.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres rank 20th in runs scored with 115, 4.1 per game.

San Diego is ninth-best in MLB play with 34 total home runs.

The Padres’ .224 batting average ranks 27th in MLB.

San Diego strikes out 8.8 times per game to rank 17th in baseball.

The 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Padres pitching staff ranks 21st in the majors.

San Diego has a 4.70 team ERA that ranks 21st across all MLB pitching staffs.

Giants Stats & Insights

The Giants have scored the 16th-most runs in the league this season with 122 (4.7 per game).

San Francisco ranks third in Major League Baseball with 43 home runs.

The Giants have a team batting average of .243 this season, which ranks 18th among MLB teams.

San Francisco is a team with a lot of swing and miss this season, ranking last with an average of 10.7 strikeouts per game.

The Giants have a 9.2 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 12th in the majors.

San Francisco has pitched to a 4.88 ERA this season, which ranks 24th in baseball.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Darvish (1-2) gets the starting nod for the Padres in his fifth start of the season. He has a 3.00 ERA in 24 2/3 innings pitched, with 25 strikeouts.

Xander Bogaerts is batting .311 this season with six home runs, both tops among San Diego hitters.

Juan Soto is batting .188 with an OBP of .376 and a slugging percentage of .375 this season.

Jake Cronenworth is slashing .219/.300/.438 this season for the Padres.

Machado is batting .245 with an OBP of .289 and a slugging percentage of .406 this season.

Giants Key Players to Watch

The Giants will send Cobb (1-1) to the mound for his sixth start this season.

Thairo Estrada paces the Giants with a .350 batting average.

Mike Yastrzemski’s five home runs are a team-high mark.

LaMonte Wade Jr has three doubles, a triple, four home runs and 20 walks while batting .242.

Wilmer Flores is hitting .267 with three doubles, four home runs and five walks.

Padres and Giants Injuries

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

Giants: Mitch Haniger: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Darin Ruf: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Austin Slater: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Alex Wood: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Roberto Pérez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luke Jackson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis González: 60 Day IL (Back), Thomas Szapucki: 60 Day IL (Left arm), Bryce Johnson: 7 Day IL (Concussion), Brandon Crawford: day-to-day (Calf), Sean Manaea: day-to-day (Knee)