Astros vs. Giants Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 1, 2023

May 1, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Francisco Giants (11-16) will look to LaMonte Wade Jr, with homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the Houston Astros (15-13) Monday at Minute Maid Park. The Astros are -191 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 8:10 PM ET live on Fox Sports 1.

Houston’s Luis Garcia gets the start, and he’ll go against San Francisco’s Ross Stripling.

Astros vs. Giants Odds

Astros odds to win: -191
Giants odds to win: +162
Spread: Astros -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, May 1, 2023
Time: 8:10 PM ET
TV: Fox Sports 1

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Who Will Win Astros vs. Giants?

Astros and Giants Betting Trends

The Astros have won 44.4% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (8-10).

Houston has a record of 1-3 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -191 or shorter (25% winning percentage).

The Giants have won six, or 37.5%, of the 16 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

San Francisco has played as an underdog of +162 or more once this season and lost that game.

The Astros have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 28 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 15 of those games (15-12-1).

Games involving the Giants have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 13 of 27 chances this season.

Astros Stats & Insights

The Astros have the No. 13 offense in baseball scoring 4.6 runs per game (128 total runs).

Houston averages one home run per game to rank 21st in MLB action with 27 total home runs .

The Astros rank 17th in the majors with a .245 batting average.

Houston’s batters strike out 8.3 times per game, the 10th-lowest average in the majors.

The Astros pitching staff ranks sixth in MLB with a collective 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

Houston’s 3.22 team ERA ranks second among all MLB pitching staffs.

Giants Stats & Insights

The Giants rank 15th in the majors with 126 total runs scored this season.

San Francisco has hit 46 homers this season, which ranks third in the majors.

The Giants’ .244 batting average ranks 18th in the league this season.

San Francisco is a team with a lot of swing and miss this season, ranking last with an average of 10.7 strikeouts per game.

The Giants have a 9.4 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, ninth-best in baseball.

San Francisco pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.95 ERA this year, which ranks 25th in MLB.

Astros Key Players to Watch

The Astros are sending Garcia (2-2) to make his sixth start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.00 ERA and 31 strikeouts in 27 2/3 innings pitched.

Kyle Tucker is batting .286 with five home runs and 20 RBI for Houston this season.

Yordan Alvarez leads Houston in home runs (six) and runs batted in (27) this season while batting .272.

Alex Bregman has collected 23 base hits, an OBP of .354 and a slugging percentage of .343 this season.

Jeremy Pena is slugging .464 this season, with a team-best six homers while driving in 16 runs.

Giants Key Players to Watch

The Giants’ Stripling will make his third start of the season.

Thairo Estrada leads the Giants with a team-best batting average of .346.

Mike Yastrzemski is hitting .292 with seven doubles, five home runs and five walks.

Wade has three doubles, a triple, five home runs and 20 walks while hitting .243.

J.D. Davis’ six home runs and 17 RBI both lead his team.

Astros and Giants Injuries

Astros: Chas McCormick: 10 Day IL (Back), Jose Altuve: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Michael Brantley: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Jose Urquidy: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Lance McCullers Jr.: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Parker Mushinski: 15 Day IL (Spine)

Giants: Mike Yastrzemski: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Austin Slater: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Darin Ruf: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Mitch Haniger: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Brandon Crawford: 10 Day IL (Calf), Alex Wood: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Roberto Pérez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luke Jackson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis González: 60 Day IL (Back), Thomas Szapucki: 60 Day IL (Left arm), Bryce Johnson: 7 Day IL (Concussion), Sean Manaea: day-to-day (Knee)