Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 1, 2023

May 1, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Masataka Yoshida (10 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Boston Red Sox (15-14) and Toronto Blue Jays (18-10) meet Monday at 7:10 PM ET, live on NESN from Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida and the Red Sox are listed as underdogs on the moneyline by sportsbooks (+139).

Toronto’s Jose Berrios and Boston’s Corey Kluber have been named the starters for this contest.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds

Blue Jays odds to win: -163
Red Sox odds to win: +139
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
Total: 10 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, May 1, 2023
Time: 7:10 PM ET
TV: NESN

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Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Red Sox?

Blue Jays and Red Sox Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have won 68.4% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (13-6).

When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -163 or shorter, Toronto has a record of 8-2 (80%).

The Red Sox have been underdogs in 15 games this season and won six (40%) of those contests.

Boston has a record of 2-2 when it’s set as an underdog of +139 or more by bookmakers this season.

The Blue Jays have played in 28 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 10 times (10-16-2).

The Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 19 of their 29 games with a total this season.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays are the 12th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.7 runs per game (132 total).

Toronto ranks 18th in baseball with 31 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Blue Jays have the seventh-best batting average in the majors (.258).

Toronto strikes out eight times per game to rank sixth in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Blue Jays has a collective 9.9 K/9, the second-best in MLB.

Toronto has the 11th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.90).

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking third with 163 total runs this season.

Boston has hit 37 homers this season, which ranks eighth in the majors.

The Red Sox’s .258 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking seventh in MLB.

Boston has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the eighth-best strikeout rate (7.8 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Red Sox have an 8.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 21st in the majors.

Boston pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.99 ERA this year, which ranks 26th in MLB.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Berrios (2-3) gets the starting nod for the Blue Jays in his sixth start of the season. He has a 4.71 ERA in 28 2/3 innings pitched, with 30 strikeouts.

Matt Chapman leads Toronto in runs batted in with 21 while batting .384, which is also best on the team.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .309 with an OBP of .394 and a slugging percentage of .491 this season.

Bo Bichette is slugging .508 this season, with a team-high six home runs. He’s also collected 18 RBI.

George Springer has 25 hits and an OBP of .283 to go with a slugging percentage of .315 this season.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

The Red Sox will hand the ball to Kluber (1-4) for his sixth start of the season.

Rafael Devers has put up a team-best 10 home runs and 27 runs batted in.

Alex Verdugo has a club-high .308 batting average.

Yoshida is hitting .276 with four doubles, four home runs and 12 walks.

Justin Turner is batting .259 with five doubles, two home runs and 14 walks.

Blue Jays and Red Sox Injuries

Blue Jays: Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Red Sox: Adam Duvall: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Yu Chang: 10 Day IL (Hand), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Elbow), James Paxton: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kenley Jansen: day-to-day (Back)