Braves vs. Mets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 1, 2023

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Monday when the Atlanta Braves (18-9) and New York Mets (15-12) take to the field at 1:10 PM ET, live on SNY. Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .352 for the Braves (-120 favorites on the moneyline) while Brandon Nimmo leads the underdog Mets (+100) with a .330 average.

Atlanta’s Spencer Strider gets the start, and he’ll go against New York’s Denyi Reyes.

Braves vs. Mets Odds

  • Braves odds to win: -120
  • Mets odds to win: +100
  • Spread: Braves -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
  • Braves vs. Mets Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Monday, May 1, 2023
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • TV: SNY
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    Who Will Win Braves vs. Mets?

    Braves and Mets Betting Trends

    The Braves have won 16 of the 25 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (64%).

    Atlanta has a 16-6 record (winning 72.7% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -120 or shorter.

    This season, the Mets have won three out of the eight games in which they’ve been the underdog.

    New York has a record of 1-4 when it’s set as an underdog of +100 or more by bookmakers this season.

    In the 27 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Braves, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 16 times (16-10-1).

    Games involving the Mets have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 11 of 27 chances this season.

    Braves Stats & Insights

    The Braves are the 10th-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 5.1 runs per game (138 total).

    Atlanta averages 1.5 home runs per game to rank fourth in baseball with 41 total home runs.

    The Braves’ .255 batting average ranks 11th in MLB.

    Atlanta strikes out 9.4 times per game to rank 17th in MLB.

    The Braves pitching staff is seventh in the majors with a collective 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Atlanta has the fourth-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.37).

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets have scored the 19th-most runs in the league this season with 122 (4.5 per game).

    New York ranks 21st in Major League Baseball with 27 home runs.

    The Mets have a team batting average of .240 this season, which ranks 20th among MLB teams.

    New York ranks second in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 7.7 Ks per contest.

    The Mets have an 8.9 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 13th in the majors.

    New York has pitched to a 4.36 ERA this season, which ranks 17th in baseball.

    Braves Key Players to Watch

    Strider makes the start for the Braves, his sixth of the season. He is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 49 strikeouts in 30 2/3 innings pitched.

    Acuna leads Atlanta in batting average (.352) this season while adding four home runs and 14 RBI.

    Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs with eight and runs batted in with 25.

    Ozzie Albies is slashing .252/.304/.495 this season for the Braves.

    Sean Murphy has collected 20 hits this season and has an OBP of .396. He’s slugging .577 on the year.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Reyes will make his first start of the season for the Mets.

    Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 10 home runs and 25 runs batted in.

    Nimmo’s .330 batting average paces his team.

    Francisco Lindor is batting .218 with 11 doubles, four home runs and 11 walks.

    Jeff McNeil is hitting .298 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 15 walks.

    Braves and Mets Injuries

    Braves: Orlando Arcia: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

    Mets: Omar Narváez: 10 Day IL (Calf), Tim Locastro: 10 Day IL (Back spasms), Brooks Raley: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Stephen Nogosek: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Left ankle), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), Stephen Ridings: 15 Day IL (Lat), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)

    Braves vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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