Padres vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 1, 2023

May 1, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Diego Padres (15-14) host the Cincinnati Reds (12-16) on Monday to start a three-game series, with the first pitch at 9:40 PM ET from PETCO Park. The Padres are listed as -215 favorites, while the underdog Reds have +180 odds on the moneyline.

San Diego’s Blake Snell gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Luke Weaver.

Padres vs. Reds Odds

Padres odds to win: -215
Reds odds to win: +180
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

Padres vs. Reds Promo Codes

DRAFTKINGS MLB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150 BONUS BETS
BET NOW!
CAESARS MLB Promo
Get Up To $1,500 in Bet Credits
BET NOW!
FANDUEL MLB Promo
Bet $5 Get $200
BET NOW!
BETMGM MLB Promo
$1K First Bet Offer
BET NOW!

Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, May 1, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: BSSD

Exclusive Apple TV Friday Night Baseball Pass
Sign Up to Watch Friday Night Baseball Exclusive on Apple TV+
Watch 7 Days For Free

Who Will Win Padres vs. Reds?

Padres and Reds Betting Trends

The Padres have won 52.9% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (9-8).

San Diego has played as moneyline favorites of -215 or shorter in only two games this season, which it split 1-1.

This season, the Reds have been the underdog 20 times and won seven, or 35%, of those games.

Cincinnati has not won as an underdog of +180 or more on the moneyline this season in three such games.

In the 29 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Padres, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 12 times (12-15-2).

The Reds and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of their 28 opportunities.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres are the 20th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.2 runs per game (121 total).

San Diego averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank 10th in MLB play with 35 total home runs.

The Padres have the 25th-ranked batting average in the majors (.227).

San Diego strikes out 9 times per game, the No. 18 mark in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Padres has a collective 8.6 K/9, which ranks 21st in the majors.

San Diego has the 21st-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.67).

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds have scored 125 runs (4.5 per game) this season, which ranks 18th in MLB.

Cincinnati ranks 28th in Major League Baseball with just 19 home runs as a team.

The Reds rank 14th in MLB with a .249 team batting average.

Cincinnati ranks 18th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.3 Ks per contest.

The Reds have a 9.8 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, fourth-best in baseball.

Cincinnati pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.92 ERA this year, which ranks 24th in MLB.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Snell makes the start for the Padres, his sixth of the season. He is 0-4 with a 5.87 ERA and 26 strikeouts in 23 2/3 innings pitched.

Xander Bogaerts is batting .308 this season with six home runs, both rank first among San Diego hitters.

Juan Soto is batting .202 with an OBP of .388 and a slugging percentage of .384 this season.

Jake Cronenworth is slashing .220/.298/.430 this season for the Padres.

Manny Machado has collected 26 hits this season and has an OBP of .280. He’s slugging .391 on the year.

Reds Key Players to Watch

Weaver will take to the mound for the Reds, his third start of the season.

Jonathan India has eight doubles, a home run and 16 walks while batting .287.

Jake Fraley’s two home runs and 16 runs batted in both lead his team.

TJ Friedl has racked up a team-high batting average of .301, while leading the Reds in home runs (two).

Spencer Steer’s two home runs are a team-high mark.

Padres and Reds Injuries

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

Reds: Wil Myers: 10 Day IL (Undisclosed), Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Fernando Cruz: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Connor Overton: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Santillan: 60 Day IL (Back), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)