Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 1, 2023

May 1, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

One team will end a losing skid when the 15-14 New York Yankees (three-game losing streak) and the 13-15 Cleveland Guardians (two-game losing streak) meet Monday at 7:05 PM ET. The Yankees have been set as -132 favorites by oddsmakers for the contest at Yankee Stadium.

New York’s Domingo German gets the start, and he’ll go against Cleveland’s Cal Quantrill.

Yankees vs. Guardians Odds

Yankees odds to win: -132
Guardians odds to win: +112
Spread: Yankees -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, May 1, 2023
Time: 7:05 PM ET
TV: YES

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Who Will Win Yankees vs. Guardians?

Yankees and Guardians Betting Trends

The Yankees have won 65.2% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (15-8).

New York has gone 12-6 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -132 or shorter (66.7% winning percentage).

This season, the Guardians have been the underdog nine times and won four of those games.

Cleveland has a record of 3-1 in games where sportsbooks have it as underdogs of at least +112 on the moneyline.

The Yankees have played in 29 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 10 times (10-18-1).

The Guardians and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 11 of their 27 opportunities.

Yankees Stats & Insights

The Yankees have the No. 23 offense in baseball scoring four runs per game (116 total runs).

New York is 11th in baseball with 34 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.

The Yankees have the fifth-worst batting average in the league (.226).

New York strikes out 8.7 times per game, the No. 16 mark in baseball.

The Yankees pitching staff ranks fourth in MLB with a collective 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

New York has a 3.78 team ERA that ranks 10th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Guardians Stats & Insights

The Guardians have scored 108 runs (just 3.9 per game) this season, which ranks 26th in MLB.

Cleveland ranks 29th in Major League Baseball with just 17 home runs as a team.

The Guardians rank 23rd in MLB with a .232 team batting average.

Cleveland ranks third in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 7.5 Ks per contest.

The Guardians average just 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, which ranks 27th in the league.

Cleveland has the 13th-ranked ERA (4.06) in the majors this season.

Yankees Key Players to Watch

German (2-2) takes the mound for the Yankees in his sixth start of the season. He’s put together a 5.54 ERA in 26 2/3 innings pitched, with 33 strikeouts.

Gleyber Torres is batting .245 with four home runs and 10 RBI for New York this season.

Aaron Judge leads New York in home runs with six and runs batted in with 14.

Anthony Rizzo is batting .282 to lead New York, while adding five homers and 13 runs batted in this season.

Anthony Volpe has 20 hits and an OBP of .333 to go with a slugging percentage of .337 this season.

Guardians Key Players to Watch

The Guardians will send Quantrill (1-2) to the mound for his sixth start this season.

Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians in home runs (three), runs batted in (17) and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .280.

Steven Kwan is hitting .279 with four doubles, a triple and 19 walks.

Andres Gimenez is hitting .253 with seven doubles, two home runs and eight walks.

Josh Bell’s three home runs pace his team.

Yankees and Guardians Injuries

Yankees: Josh Donaldson: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Giancarlo Stanton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Ben Rortvedt: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Harrison Bader: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Jonathan Loaisiga: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Carlos Rodón: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Severino: 15 Day IL (Lat), Lou Trivino: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tommy Kahnle: 60 Day IL (Biceps), Aaron Judge: day-to-day (Hip), Jake Bauers: day-to-day (Knee)

Guardians: Aaron Civale: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Sam Hentges: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Cody Morris: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)