Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 2, 2023

May 2, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Boston Red Sox (16-14) will look to Alex Verdugo, who has blasted homers in two straight games, to pull off an upset win over the Toronto Blue Jays (18-11) Tuesday at Fenway Park. The Blue Jays and Bo Bichette (who has a two-game home run streak of his own) are -134 moneyline favorites for the game, which starts at 7:10 PM ET live on TBS.

Yusei Kikuchi will get the ball for Toronto while Boston will counter with Tanner Houck.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds

Blue Jays odds to win: -134
Red Sox odds to win: +113
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 2, 2023
Time: 7:10 PM ET
TV: TBS

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Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Red Sox?

Blue Jays and Red Sox Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have compiled a 13-7 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 65% of those games).

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -134 or shorter, Toronto has gone 10-5 (66.7%).

The Red Sox have been underdogs in 16 games this season and won seven (43.8%) of those contests.

Boston has a record of 4-6, a 40% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +113 or more by sportsbooks this season.

The Blue Jays have played in 29 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 11 times (11-16-2).

Games involving the Red Sox have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 20 of 30 chances this season.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays are the 11th-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.7 runs per game (137 total).

Toronto averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 17th in baseball with 32 total home runs .

The Blue Jays’ .258 batting average is eighth-best in the majors.

Toronto strikes out eight times per game to rank eighth in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Blue Jays has a collective 9.8 K/9, the third-best in MLB.

Toronto’s 3.99 team ERA ranks 12th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking third with 169 total runs this season.

Boston ranks fifth in Major League Baseball with 40 home runs.

The Red Sox rank sixth in MLB with a .261 team batting average.

Boston has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the ninth-best strikeout rate (7.8 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Red Sox strike out 8.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 19th in MLB.

Boston has pitched to a 4.96 ERA this season, which ranks 24th in baseball.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays, his sixth of the season. He is 4-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 27 2/3 innings pitched.

Bichette is batting .344 this season with a team-high seven home runs and 21 RBI.

Matt Chapman leads Toronto in batting average (.379) and runs batted in (21) this season while also slugging five homers.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has collected 35 base hits, an OBP of .386 and a slugging percentage of .487 this season.

Whit Merrifield is batting .316 with an OBP of .378 and a slugging percentage of .418 this season.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

Houck (3-1) will take to the mound for the Red Sox and make his sixth start of the season.

Verdugo leads the Red Sox with a .311 batting average.

Rafael Devers’ 10 home runs and 27 runs batted in both pace his team.

Masataka Yoshida has five doubles, four home runs and 12 walks while hitting .286.

Justin Turner has five doubles, two home runs and 14 walks while batting .259.

Blue Jays and Red Sox Injuries

Blue Jays: Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Red Sox: Yu Chang: 10 Day IL (Hand), Adam Duvall: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Elbow), James Paxton: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kenley Jansen: day-to-day (Back)