Dodgers vs. Phillies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 2, 2023

May 2, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Los Angeles Dodgers (17-13) will vie for their fifth straight victory when they host the Philadelphia Phillies (15-15) on Tuesday at 10:10 PM ET on MLB Network. The Dodgers are listed as -147 favorites by sportsbooks, while the Phillies are +125 underdogs.

Julio Urias will get the ball for Los Angeles while Philadelphia will counter with Matt Strahm.

Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds

Dodgers odds to win: -147
Phillies odds to win: +125
Spread: Dodgers -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 2, 2023
Time: 10:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Dodgers vs. Phillies?

Dodgers and Phillies Betting Trends

The Dodgers have gone 16-12 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 57.1% of those games).

Los Angeles has gone 10-9 (winning 52.6% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -147 or shorter.

This season, the Phillies have been the underdog 13 times and won five, or 38.5%, of those games.

Philadelphia has a record of 2-4 in games where oddsmakers have it as underdogs of at least +125 on the moneyline.

In the 30 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Dodgers, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 17 times (17-12-1).

So far this season, the Phillies and their opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 30 games with a total.

Dodgers Stats & Insights

The Dodgers have the No. 4 offense in MLB action scoring 5.3 runs per game (159 total runs).

Los Angeles is second in MLB play with 51 home runs. They average 1.7 per game.

The Dodgers’ .231 batting average ranks 24th in MLB.

Los Angeles’ hitters strike out 9.6 times per game, the 29th-most in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Dodgers has a collective 8.1 K/9, which ranks 24th in MLB.

Los Angeles has the 16th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.41).

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies have scored 130 runs (4.3 per game) this season, which ranks 15th in MLB.

Philadelphia’s 34 home runs rank 12th in Major League Baseball.

The Phillies’ .271 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking third in MLB.

Philadelphia ranks 23rd in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of nine Ks per contest.

The Phillies have a 9.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, seventh-best in baseball.

Philadelphia pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.66 ERA this year, which ranks 21st in MLB.

Dodgers Key Players to Watch

Urias gets the start for the Dodgers, his seventh of the season. He is 3-3 with a 4.41 ERA and 35 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings pitched.

Max Muncy leads Los Angeles in home runs with 11 and runs batted in with 22.

Freddie Freeman’s batting average of .314 leads all Los Angeles hitters this season.

Mookie Betts has collected 27 base hits, an OBP of .360 and a slugging percentage of .477 this season.

James Outman has collected 28 hits this season and has an OBP of .377. He’s slugging .596 on the year.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

Strahm (2-2) will take the mound for the Phillies, his sixth start of the season.

Nicholas Castellanos has 10 doubles, four home runs and 10 walks while hitting .319.

Brandon Marsh is batting .337 to lead his team.

Alec Bohm paces the Phillies with 22 runs batted in.

Kyle Schwarber’s seven home runs pace his team.

Dodgers and Phillies Injuries

Dodgers: J.D. Martínez: 10 Day IL (Back), Michael Grove: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jimmy Nelson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Pepiot: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Daniel Hudson: 60 Day IL (Knee), Walker Buehler: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Álex Reyes: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), J.P. Feyereisen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Blake Treinen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Gavin Lux: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Phillies: Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Andrew Bellatti: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)