Marlins vs. Braves Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 2, 2023

May 2, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Luis Arraez, batting .438 this season, leads the Miami Marlins (16-13) into a matchup with Ronald Acuna Jr. (.363 AVG) and the Atlanta Braves (19-10). The Marlins are -123 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at LoanDepot park, beginning at 6:40 PM ET live on BSFL.

Miami’s Sandy Alcantara gets the start, and he’ll go against Atlanta’s Bryce Elder.

Marlins vs. Braves Odds

Marlins odds to win: -123
Braves odds to win: +103
Spread: Marlins -1.5
Total: 8 runs

Marlins vs. Braves Promo Codes

DRAFTKINGS MLB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150 BONUS BETS
BET NOW!
CAESARS MLB Promo
Get Up To $1,500 in Bet Credits
BET NOW!
FANDUEL MLB Promo
Bet $5 Get $200
BET NOW!
BETMGM MLB Promo
$1K First Bet Offer
BET NOW!

Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 2, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: BSFL

Exclusive Apple TV Friday Night Baseball Pass
Sign Up to Watch Friday Night Baseball Exclusive on Apple TV+

Watch 7 Days For Free

Who Will Win Marlins vs. Braves?

Marlins and Braves Betting Trends

The Marlins have compiled a 6-4 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games).

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -123 or shorter, Miami has a record of 4-2 (66.7%).

The Braves have won both games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Atlanta has played as an underdog of +103 or more twice this season and won both games.

The Marlins have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 28 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 12 of those games (12-15-1).

The Braves and their opponents have hit the over in 17 of their 29 games with a total this season.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins have the No. 28 offense in baseball scoring 3.4 runs per game (99 total runs).

Miami is 23rd in MLB play with 26 home runs. They average 0.9 per game.

The Marlins rank 14th in MLB with a .249 batting average.

Miami’s 8.9 strikeouts per game rank 17th in MLB.

The 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Marlins pitching staff ranks 19th in the majors.

Miami has a 4.48 team ERA that ranks 17th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves have scored the seventh-most runs in the league this season with 150.

Atlanta’s 45 home runs rank fourth in Major League Baseball.

The Braves rank 11th in MLB with a .253 team batting average.

Atlanta ranks 22nd in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.3 Ks per contest.

The Braves have a 9.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, seventh-best in baseball.

Atlanta has the eighth-best ERA (3.60) in the majors this season.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

Alcantara (1-2) takes the mound for the Marlins in his sixth start of the season. He has a 5.34 ERA in 30 1/3 innings pitched, with 26 strikeouts.

Arraez leads Miami in batting average (.438) this season.

Jorge Soler is slugging .463 this season, with a team-best five homers while driving in 10 runs.

Jazz Chisholm leads Miami in home runs (five) and runs batted in (13) this season while batting .245.

Jon Berti has 20 hits and an OBP of .300 to go with a slugging percentage of .366 this season.

Braves Key Players to Watch

The Braves will send Elder (2-0) to the mound for his sixth start this season.

Acuna leads the Braves with a team-high batting average of .363.

Sean Murphy has shown off his power as he paces his team with eight home runs.

Matt Olson paces the Braves in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (25).

Ozzie Albies has three doubles, a triple, seven home runs and seven walks while hitting .243.

Marlins and Braves Injuries

Marlins: Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (The miami marlins placed of avisaíl garcía on the 10-day injured list.), Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness), Garrett Cooper: day-to-day (Stomach)

Braves: Orlando Arcia: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion)