Mets vs. Tigers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 3, 2023

May 2, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Detroit Tigers (10-17) enter Wednesday’s matchup with the New York Mets (16-13) following their 1-3 series defeat to the Orioles. The Mets, coming off of a series loss against the Braves, are listed as -221 favorites for Game 1. The series begins at Comerica Park, starting at 1:40 PM ET on BSDET.

New York’s Joey Lucchesi gets the start, and he’ll go against Detroit’s Joey Wentz.

Mets vs. Tigers Odds

Mets odds to win: -221
Tigers odds to win: +182
Spread: Mets -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 3, 2023
Time: 1:40 PM ET
TV: BSDET

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Who Will Win Mets vs. Tigers?

Mets and Tigers Betting Trends

The Mets have won 63.2% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (12-7).

New York has played as moneyline favorites of -221 or shorter in just two games this season, which it won both.

The Tigers have entered the game as underdogs 26 times this season and won nine, or 34.6%, of those games.

Detroit has a record of 3-5 in games where bookmakers have it as underdogs of at least +182 on the moneyline.

The Mets have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 29 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 12 of those games (12-16-1).

The Tigers and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 12 of their 27 opportunities.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets have the No. 13 offense in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game (135 total runs).

New York averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 20th in baseball with 31 total home runs .

The Mets’ .242 batting average ranks 18th in MLB.

New York strikes out 7.8 times per game to rank third in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Mets has a collective 8.8 K/9, which ranks 15th in MLB.

New York has a 4.48 team ERA that ranks 17th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Tigers Stats & Insights

The Tigers have scored the fewest runs in the league this season with just 88 (3.3 per game).

Detroit ranks 27th in Major League Baseball with just 20 home runs as a team.

The Tigers have a team batting average of just .221 this season, which ranks 28th among MLB teams.

Detroit ranks 19th in strikeouts per game (10) among MLB offenses.

The Tigers strike out 7.9 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 25th in MLB.

Detroit pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.81 ERA this year, which ranks 21st in MLB.

Mets Key Players to Watch

The Mets are sending Lucchesi (1-0) out to make his third start of the season.

Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs (11) and runs batted in (28) this season while batting .248.

Brandon Nimmo leads New York in batting with a .320 average while slugging two homers and driving in 13 runs.

Jeff McNeil is slashing .304/.418/.441 this season for the Mets.

Francisco Lindor is batting .215 with an OBP of .325 and a slugging percentage of .430 this season.

Tigers Key Players to Watch

The Tigers will send Wentz (0-3) to the mound for his sixth start this season.

Nick Maton paces the Tigers in home runs (four) and runs batted in (13).

Spencer Torkelson is batting .206 with four doubles, two home runs and nine walks.

Javier Baez is hitting .233 with five doubles and six walks.

Matt Vierling has a club-best .284 batting average.

Mets and Tigers Injuries

Mets: Tim Locastro: 10 Day IL (Back spasms), Omar Narváez: 10 Day IL (Calf), Brooks Raley: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Left ankle), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Verlander: 15 Day IL (Teres major), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Stephen Ridings: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)

Tigers: Kerry Carpenter: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Trey Wingenter: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Beau Brieske: 15 Day IL (Arm), Matt Manning: 60 Day IL (Foot), Austin Meadows: 60 Day IL (Anxiety), Casey Mize: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tarik Skubal: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Freddy Pacheco: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Miguel Cabrera: day-to-day (Illness)