Padres vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 2, 2023

May 2, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Diego Padres (16-14) will vie for their fourth straight victory when they host the Cincinnati Reds (12-17) on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET on MLB Network. The Padres are listed as -260 favorites by oddsmakers, while the Reds are +214 underdogs.

San Diego’s Michael Wacha gets the start, and he’ll go against Cincinnati’s Graham Ashcraft.

Padres vs. Reds Odds

Padres odds to win: -260
Reds odds to win: +214
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 2, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Reds?

Padres and Reds Betting Trends

The Padres have been favored on the moneyline 18 total times this season. They’ve gone 10-8 in those games.

San Diego has not played a game this season with moneyline odds of -260 or shorter.

This season, the Reds have won seven out of the 21 games, or 33.3%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Cincinnati has played as an underdog of +214 or more twice this season and lost both games.

The Padres have played in 30 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 13 times (13-15-2).

The Reds’ games have gone over the total in 16 of their 29 chances.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres rank 16th in runs scored with 129, 4.3 per game.

San Diego is 10th in MLB action with 36 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.

The Padres have the 21st-ranked batting average in the majors (.235).

San Diego strikes out nine times per game to rank 21st in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Padres has a collective 8.7 K/9, which ranks 19th in MLB.

San Diego has a 4.62 team ERA that ranks 20th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Reds Stats & Insights

The Reds rank 18th in the majors with 128 total runs scored this season.

Cincinnati’s 20 home runs rank 26th in MLB this season.

The Reds’ .248 batting average ranks 16th in the league this season.

Cincinnati ranks 23rd with an average of 9.3 strikeouts per game.

The Reds have a 9.8 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, third-best in baseball.

Cincinnati pitchers have a combined ERA of 5.05 ERA this year, which ranks 26th in MLB.

Padres Key Players to Watch

The Padres will send Wacha (2-1) to the mound to make his sixth start of the season. He is 2-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 25 1/3 innings pitched.

Xander Bogaerts leads San Diego in batting average (.304) and home runs (six) this season, while also chipping in with 13 RBI.

Juan Soto is batting .214 with an OBP of .396 and a slugging percentage of .398 this season.

Jake Cronenworth has collected 24 base hits, an OBP of .303 and a slugging percentage of .429 this season.

Trent Grisham has collected 22 hits this season and has an OBP of .333. He’s slugging .440 on the year.

Reds Key Players to Watch

The Reds will hand the ball to Ashcraft (2-0) for his sixth start of the season.

Jonathan India is batting .276 with eight doubles, a home run and 16 walks.

Nick Senzel has shown his power as he leads his team with three home runs.

Jake Fraley has a team-high 16 runs batted in.

TJ Friedl has a club-leading .298 batting average.

Padres and Reds Injuries

Padres: Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Adam Engel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

Reds: Wil Myers: 10 Day IL (Undisclosed), Joey Votto: 10 Day IL (Bicep/shoulder), Fernando Cruz: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Connor Overton: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tony Santillan: 60 Day IL (Back), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)