Astros vs. Giants Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 3, 2023

May 3, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Houston Astros (16-14) host the San Francisco Giants (12-17) Wednesday to close out a three-game series. The Astros are favored (-157) to win the rubber match, which starts at 2:10 PM ET from Minute Maid Park.

Framber Valdez will get the ball for Houston while San Francisco will counter with Logan Webb.

Astros vs. Giants Odds

Astros odds to win: -157
Giants odds to win: +135
Spread: Astros -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 3, 2023
Time: 2:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Astros vs. Giants?

Astros and Giants Betting Trends

The Astros have won nine of the 20 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (45%).

When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -157 or shorter, Houston has a 7-6 record (winning 53.8% of its games).

The Giants have been underdogs in 18 games this season and won seven (38.9%) of those contests.

San Francisco has a record of 1-3 when it’s set as an underdog of +135 or more by sportsbooks this season.

The Astros have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 30 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 16 of those games (16-13-1).

The Giants and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 14 of their 29 opportunities.

Astros Stats & Insights

The Astros are the 13th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.5 runs per game (135 total).

Houston is 22nd in MLB with 27 total home runs.

The Astros rank 17th in MLB with a .243 batting average.

Houston strikes out 8.1 times per game to rank 10th in the majors.

The 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Astros pitching staff ranks fifth in MLB.

Houston’s 3.18 team ERA ranks second across all MLB pitching staffs.

Giants Stats & Insights

The Giants have scored the 15th-most runs in the league this season with 131 (4.5 per game).

San Francisco ranks third in Major League Baseball with 48 home runs.

The Giants rank 19th in MLB with a .241 team batting average.

San Francisco is a team with a lot of swing and miss this season, ranking last with an average of 10.5 strikeouts per game.

The Giants average the 11th-most strikeouts per nine innings (9.1) in the league this season.

San Francisco has pitched to a 4.86 ERA this season, which ranks 22nd in baseball.

Astros Key Players to Watch

Valdez (2-3 with a 2.54 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 39 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Astros, his seventh of the season.

Kyle Tucker has been key for Houston with five home runs, 20 RBI and a batting average of .269 this season.

Yordan Alvarez leads Houston in home runs (six) and runs batted in (27) this season while batting .264.

Alex Bregman is slashing .211/.338/.325 this season for the Astros.

Jeremy Pena’s six home runs are most among Houston batters. He’s driven in 17 runs this season while slugging .454.

Giants Key Players to Watch

The Giants’ Webb (1-5) will make his seventh start of the season.

Thairo Estrada leads the Giants with a team-best batting average of .342.

LaMonte Wade Jr has hit six home runs to pace his team.

J.D. Davis has a team-best six home runs and 17 runs batted in.

Wilmer Flores is batting .253 with three doubles, four home runs and six walks.

Astros and Giants Injuries

Astros: Chas McCormick: 10 Day IL (Back), Jose Altuve: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Michael Brantley: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Garcia: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Jose Urquidy: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Lance McCullers Jr.: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Parker Mushinski: 15 Day IL (Spine)

Giants: Darin Ruf: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Brandon Crawford: 10 Day IL (Calf), Mitch Haniger: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Mike Yastrzemski: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Austin Slater: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Alex Wood: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Roberto Pérez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luke Jackson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis González: 60 Day IL (Back), Thomas Szapucki: 60 Day IL (Left arm), Bryce Johnson: 7 Day IL (Concussion), Sean Manaea: day-to-day (Knee)