Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 3, 2023

May 3, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Boston Red Sox (17-14) will lean on Connor Wong, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays (18-12) on Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET on MLB Network. The Red Sox are +127 underdogs for the contest, according to sportsbooks.

Alek Manoah will get the ball for Toronto while Boston will counter with Nick Pivetta.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds

Blue Jays odds to win: -149
Red Sox odds to win: +127
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 3, 2023
Time: 7:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Red Sox?

Blue Jays and Red Sox Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have won 13 of the 21 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (61.9%).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -149 or shorter, Toronto has a record of 9-3 (75%).

This season, the Red Sox have won eight out of the 17 games, or 47.1%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Boston has entered seven games this season as the underdog by +127 or more and is 4-3 in those contests.

In the 30 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Blue Jays, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 12 times (12-16-2).

The Red Sox and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of their 31 opportunities.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays rank 11th in runs scored with 143, 4.8 per game.

Toronto ranks 16th in baseball with 33 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Blue Jays’ .257 batting average is ninth-best in the majors.

Toronto strikes out 8 times per game, the eighth-best mark in baseball.

The Blue Jays pitching staff ranks fifth in the majors with a collective 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings.

Toronto has the 13th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.11).

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox have scored 176 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB.

Boston has hit 44 homers this season, which ranks fifth in the majors.

The Red Sox have a team batting average of .266 this season, which ranks third among MLB teams.

Boston has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the seventh-best strikeout rate (7.7 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Red Sox average the 21st-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.6) in the league this season.

Boston has pitched to a 4.99 ERA this season, which ranks 26th in baseball.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Manoah gets the start for the Blue Jays, his seventh of the season. He is 1-1 with a 4.88 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 31 1/3 innings pitched.

Bo Bichette is batting .339 this season with a team-high seven home runs and 21 RBI.

Matt Chapman leads Toronto in batting average (.374) and runs batted in (21) this season while also slugging five homers.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 37 hits this season and a slash line of .311/.390/.487.

Whit Merrifield has 25 hits and an OBP of .362 to go with a slugging percentage of .398 this season.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

The Red Sox will hand the ball to Pivetta (1-2) for his sixth start of the season.

Alex Verdugo has accumulated a team-high batting average of .317.

Rafael Devers has shown his power as he paces his team with 10 home runs and 27 RBI.

Masataka Yoshida has five doubles, five home runs and 13 walks while hitting .298.

Justin Turner is hitting .265 with six doubles, two home runs and 14 walks.

Blue Jays and Red Sox Injuries

Blue Jays: Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Red Sox: Adam Duvall: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Yu Chang: 10 Day IL (Hand), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Elbow), James Paxton: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kenley Jansen: day-to-day (Back)