Braves vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 3, 2023

May 3, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Atlanta Braves (20-10) visit the Miami Marlins (16-14) at 6:40 PM ET Wednesday for a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. For the favored Braves (-141), Ronald Acuna Jr. is batting .362 this year, third in the league, while Luis Arraez ranks first in the majors with a .435 average for the underdog Marlins.

Kyle Wright gets the starting nod for Atlanta while Braxton Garrett is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Marlins Odds

Braves odds to win: -141
Marlins odds to win: +119
Spread: Braves -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

Braves vs. Marlins Promo Codes

DRAFTKINGS MLB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150 BONUS BETS
BET NOW!
CAESARS MLB Promo
Get Up To $1,500 in Bet Credits
BET NOW!
FANDUEL MLB Promo
Bet $5 Get $200
BET NOW!
BETMGM MLB Promo
$1K First Bet Offer
BET NOW!

Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 3, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
TV: BSFL

Exclusive Apple TV Friday Night Baseball Pass
Sign Up to Watch Friday Night Baseball Exclusive on Apple TV+
Watch 7 Days For Free

Who Will Win Braves vs. Marlins?

Braves and Marlins Betting Trends

The Braves have compiled a 17-10 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 63% of those games).

Atlanta has a record of 12-3 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -141 or shorter (80% winning percentage).

This season, the Marlins have won nine out of the 18 games, or 50%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Miami is 6-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +119 or more on the moneyline.

The Braves have had an over/under set by bookmakers 30 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 17 of those games (17-12-1).

The Marlins and their opponents have hit the over in 12 of their 29 games with a total this season.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves score the seventh-most runs in baseball (156 total, 5.2 per game).

Atlanta ranks fourth in MLB action with 46 home runs. They average 1.5 per game.

The Braves’ .254 batting average ranks 11th in the majors.

Atlanta strikes out 9.3 times per game, the No. 24 average in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Braves has a collective 9.5 K/9, the eighth-best in MLB.

Atlanta has a 3.48 team ERA that ranks seventh among all MLB pitching staffs.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 29th with just 99 total runs (3.3 per game) this season.

Miami’s 26 home runs rank 24th in Major League Baseball.

The Marlins have a team batting average of .246 this season, which ranks 15th among MLB teams.

Miami ranks 17th in strikeouts per game (8.9) among MLB offenses.

The Marlins strike out 8.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 19th in MLB.

Miami has the 20th-ranked ERA (4.53) in the majors this season.

Braves Key Players to Watch

The Braves will send Wright (0-1) out for his fifth start of the season. He is 0-1 with a 4.86 ERA and 17 strikeouts through 16 2/3 innings pitched.

Acuna leads Atlanta in batting average (.362) this season while adding five home runs and 16 RBI.

Sean Murphy leads Atlanta in home runs with eight while driving in 23 runs and slugging .632.

Matt Olson leads the club in homers (eight) and runs batted in (25) this season.

Ozzie Albies’ eight home runs are most among Atlanta batters. He’s driven in 24 runs this season while slugging .513.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

The Marlins will send Garrett (1-0) to the mound for his fifth start this season.

Arraez leads the Marlins with a .435 batting average.

Jorge Soler’s five home runs pace his team.

Jon Berti has four doubles, two home runs and eight walks while hitting .250.

Jazz Chisholm’s five home runs and 13 runs batted in are both team-highs.

Braves and Marlins Injuries

Braves: Orlando Arcia: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Garrett Cooper: 10 Day IL (Ear infection), Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Back), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)