Dodgers vs. Phillies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 3, 2023

May 3, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-16) serve as underdogs on the moneyline (-100) in Wednesday’s contest against the Los Angeles Dodgers (18-13). Game time is set for 4:10 PM ET on SportsNet LA. The Phillies are favored against the spread in this one (1.5) with +160 odds.

Philadelphia will send Aaron Nola out to start this one, while Los Angeles has not yet named a starter.

Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds

Dodgers odds to win: -119
Phillies odds to win: -100
Spread: Phillies -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 3, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: SportsNet LA

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Who Will Win Dodgers vs. Phillies?

Dodgers and Phillies Betting Trends

The Dodgers are 17-12 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 58.6% of those games).

Los Angeles has a record of 16-12 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -119 or shorter (57.1% winning percentage).

This season, the Phillies have been the underdog 14 times and won five, or 35.7%, of those games.

Philadelphia has entered 13 games this season as the underdog by -100 or more and is 4-9 in those contests.

The Dodgers have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 31 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 18 of those games (18-12-1).

The Phillies and their opponents have hit the over in 14 of their 31 games with a total this season.

Dodgers Stats & Insights

The Dodgers score the fourth-most runs in baseball (172 total, 5.5 per game).

Los Angeles averages 1.7 home runs per game to rank second in MLB play with 52 total home runs.

The Dodgers’ .239 batting average ranks 21st in the majors.

Los Angeles strikes out 9.6 times per game, the second-worst average in baseball.

The Dodgers pitching staff ranks 23rd in the majors with a collective 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings.

Los Angeles has a 4.30 team ERA that ranks 14th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies rank 15th in the majors with 131 total runs scored this season.

Philadelphia has hit 35 homers this season, which ranks 13th in the majors.

The Phillies have a team batting average of .266 this season, which ranks third among MLB teams.

Philadelphia ranks 25th in strikeouts per game (9.2) among MLB offenses.

The Phillies average 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, fifth-most in the league.

Philadelphia has the 25th-ranked ERA (4.95) in the majors this season.

Dodgers Key Players to Watch

Freddie Freeman leads Los Angeles with a .317 batting average. He’s also hit five homers and has 13 RBI.

Max Muncy is batting .241 this season with a team-high 11 home runs and 23 RBI.

Mookie Betts has collected 30 base hits, an OBP of .372 and a slugging percentage of .486 this season.

James Outman has 29 hits and an OBP of .378 to go with a slugging percentage of .583 this season.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

Nola (2-2) will take the mound for the Phillies, his seventh start of the season.

Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .311 with 10 doubles, four home runs and 10 walks.

Brandon Marsh is batting .326 to lead his team.

Alec Bohm has collected a team-high 22 runs batted in.

Kyle Schwarber’s seven home runs pace his team.

Dodgers and Phillies Injuries

Dodgers: J.D. Martínez: 10 Day IL (Back), Michael Grove: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jimmy Nelson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Pepiot: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Daniel Hudson: 60 Day IL (Knee), Walker Buehler: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Álex Reyes: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), J.P. Feyereisen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Blake Treinen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Gavin Lux: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), Andrew Bellatti: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Nick Nelson: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)