Guardians vs. Yankees Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 3, 2023

May 3, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Cleveland Guardians (14-16) visit the New York Yankees (16-15) Wednesday to close out a three-game series. The Guardians are favored (-120) to win the rubber match, which starts at 7:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium.

Shane Bieber gets the starting nod for Cleveland while Clarke Schmidt is New York’s starter for the contest.

Guardians vs. Yankees Odds

Guardians odds to win: -120
Yankees odds to win: +101
Spread: Guardians -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 3, 2023
Time: 7:05 PM ET
TV: Amazon Prime Video

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Who Will Win Guardians vs. Yankees?

Guardians and Yankees Betting Trends

The Guardians have been favored on the moneyline 18 total times this season. They’ve finished 9-9 in those games.

Cleveland has a 9-9 record (winning 50% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -120 or shorter.

This season, the Yankees have been listed as the underdog in six games and failed to win any of those contests.

New York has been at least a +101 moneyline underdog six times this season, but was upset in all of those games.

In the 29 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 11 times (11-17-1).

The Yankees and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 10 of their 31 opportunities.

Guardians Stats & Insights

The Guardians score the fifth-fewest runs in baseball (113 total, 3.8 per game).

Cleveland has hit 17 home runs this season, the second-lowest total in baseball.

The Guardians have the 25th-ranked batting average in the league (.227).

Cleveland’s hitters strike out 7.6 times per game, the second-lowest average in MLB.

The Guardians pitching staff ranks last in MLB with a collective 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Cleveland has the 12th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.01).

Yankees Stats & Insights

The Yankees have scored 122 runs (3.9 per game) this season, which ranks 21st in MLB.

New York’s 37 home runs rank 10th in Major League Baseball.

The Yankees’ .227 batting average ranks 25th in the league this season.

New York ranks 15th with an average of 8.4 strikeouts per game.

The Yankees strike out 9.7 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, third-best in MLB.

New York has pitched to a 3.63 ERA this season, which ranks ninth in baseball.

Guardians Key Players to Watch

Bieber (2-1) gets the starting nod for the Guardians in his seventh start of the season. He has a 3.11 ERA in 37 2/3 innings pitched, with 26 strikeouts.

Jose Ramirez leads Cleveland in homers with three while also maintaining a team-best .287 batting average.

Steven Kwan has collected 32 hits this season and has an OBP of .369. He’s slugging .319 on the year.

Andres Gimenez is slashing .236/.325/.358 this season for the Guardians.

Josh Bell’s three home runs are most among Cleveland batters. He’s driven in 13 runs this season while slugging .377.

Yankees Key Players to Watch

Schmidt (0-3) will take the mound for the Yankees, his seventh start of the season.

Gleyber Torres has four doubles, a triple, four home runs and 17 walks while hitting .245.

Anthony Rizzo’s 14 RBI and .282 batting average both pace his team.

Anthony Volpe is batting .230 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs and 16 walks.

DJ LeMahieu has six doubles, a triple, three home runs and eight walks while batting .260.

Guardians and Yankees Injuries

Guardians: Aaron Civale: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Sam Hentges: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Cody Morris: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Yankees: Josh Donaldson: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Aaron Judge: 10 Day IL (Hip), Giancarlo Stanton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Ben Rortvedt: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Jonathan Loaisiga: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Carlos Rodón: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Severino: 15 Day IL (Lat), Lou Trivino: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tommy Kahnle: 60 Day IL (Biceps)