Marlins vs. Braves Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, May 4, 2023

The Miami Marlins (16-15) and Atlanta Braves (21-10) meet Thursday at LoanDepot park, with first pitch at 4:10 PM ET on MLB Network. The Marlins are -111 moneyline favorites for the contest, however, the Braves are favored against the spread of 1.5 runs with +150 odds.

Miami’s Jesus Luzardo and Atlanta’s Dylan Dodd have been named the starters for this contest.

Marlins vs. Braves Odds

• Marlins odds to win: -111
• Braves odds to win: -109
• Spread: Braves -1.5
• Total: 8.5 runs

Marlins vs. Braves Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Thursday, May 4, 2023
• Time: 4:10 PM ET
• TV: MLB Network

Who Will Win Marlins vs. Braves?

Marlins and Braves Betting Trends

The Marlins have a 6-5 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 54.5% of those games).

Miami has a record of 6-5 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -111 or shorter (54.5% winning percentage).

This season, the Braves have been listed as the underdog in three games but won them all.

Atlanta has been at least a -109 moneyline underdog three times this season and won each of those games.

The Marlins have combined with opponents to go over the total 13 times this season for a 13-16-1 record against the over/under.

So far this season, the Braves and their opponents have hit the over in 18 of their 31 games with a total.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins score the second-fewest runs in baseball (105 total, 3.4 per game).

Miami is 24th in MLB action with 27 home runs. They average 0.9 per game.

The Marlins are 15th in MLB with a .249 batting average.

Miami’s nine strikeouts per game rank 19th in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Marlins has a collective 8.6 K/9, which ranks 20th in MLB.

Miami has the 22nd-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.84).

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves have scored 170 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB.

Atlanta ranks third in Major League Baseball with 52 home runs.

The Braves have a team batting average of .260 this season, which ranks seventh among MLB teams.

Atlanta ranks 24th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 9.2 Ks per contest.

The Braves average 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, fourth-most in the league.

Atlanta pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.53 ERA this year, sixth-best in baseball.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

Luzardo gets the start for the Marlins, his seventh of the season. He is 2-1 with a 3.48 ERA and 38 strikeouts through 33 2/3 innings pitched.

Luis Arraez leads Miami with a .432 batting average.

Jon Berti has 21 hits and an OBP of .309 to go with a slugging percentage of .356 this season.

Jorge Soler leads Miami in home runs with five. He’s driven in 10 runs and is slugging .423.

Jazz Chisholm is batting .239 this season with a team-high five home runs and 13 RBI.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Dodd has been named the starter for the Braves and will make his first start this season.

Ronald Acuna Jr. leads the Braves with a team-best batting average of .355.

Ozzie Albies has put his power on display as he leads his team with nine home runs and 26 RBI.

Sean Murphy is batting .289 with seven doubles, eight home runs and 20 walks.

Matt Olson is batting .246 with six doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 22 walks.

Marlins and Braves Injuries

Marlins: Joey Wendle: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Garrett Cooper: 10 Day IL (Ear infection), Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Back), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)

Braves: Orlando Arcia: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Kyle Wright: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Raisel Iglesias: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion), Michael Harris II: day-to-day (Leg)

Marlins vs. Braves Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 4, Marlins 3

Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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