Twins vs. White Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, May 4, 2023

May 4, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Chicago White Sox (10-21) hope to complete a three-game sweep of the Minnesota Twins (17-14) when the teams meet at 2:10 PM ET on Thursday. The Twins are -143 favorites to prevent the White Sox from completing the sweep.

Pablo Lopez will get the ball for Minnesota while Chicago will counter with Lucas Giolito.

Twins vs. White Sox Odds

Twins odds to win: -143
White Sox odds to win: +121
Spread: Twins -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, May 4, 2023
Time: 2:10 PM ET
TV: NBCS-CHI

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Who Will Win Twins vs. White Sox?

Twins and White Sox Betting Trends

The Twins have won 15 of the 21 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (71.4%).

Minnesota has a 10-4 record (winning 71.4% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -143 or shorter.

The White Sox have been underdogs in 22 games this season and won five (22.7%) of those contests.

Chicago has entered 15 games this season as the underdog by +121 or more and is 4-11 in those contests.

The Twins have played in 31 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 13 times (13-15-3).

The White Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 16 of their 31 games with a total this season.

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins rank 13th in runs scored with 140, 4.5 per game.

Minnesota ranks eighth in baseball with 40 home runs. They average 1.3 per game.

The Twins’ .231 batting average ranks 24th in MLB.

Minnesota’s hitters strike out 9.6 times per game, the 26th-most in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Twins has a collective 9.8 K/9, the second-best in MLB.

Minnesota has a 3.53 team ERA that ranks sixth across all MLB pitching staffs.

White Sox Stats & Insights

The White Sox have scored the 22nd-most runs in the league this season with 127 (4.1 per game).

Chicago’s 30 home runs rank 22nd in Major League Baseball.

The White Sox have a team batting average of .237 this season, which ranks 22nd among MLB teams.

Chicago ranks 15th in strikeouts per game (8.6) among MLB offenses.

The White Sox average 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, most in the league.

Chicago has pitched to a 5.74 ERA this season, which ranks 29th in baseball.

Twins Key Players to Watch

The Twins will send Lopez (2-2) to make his seventh start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.00 ERA and 46 strikeouts through 36 2/3 innings pitched.

Byron Buxton leads Minnesota in batting average (.262) and home runs (seven) this season, while also chipping in with 18 RBI.

Jose Miranda is batting .230 with an OBP of .293 and a slugging percentage of .336 this season.

Joey Gallo is slugging .623 this season, with a team-high seven home runs. He’s also collected 14 RBI.

Trevor Larnach is a key run producer for Minnesota with a .228 average, three homers and 19 RBI.

White Sox Key Players to Watch

Giolito (1-2) will take the mound for the White Sox, his seventh start of the season.

Andrew Vaughn has accumulated a team-best 20 runs batted in.

Luis Robert is hitting .217 with six doubles, six home runs and six walks.

Jake Burger has hit a team-best seven home runs.

Andrew Benintendi’s .276 batting average is a team-high mark.

Twins and White Sox Injuries

Twins: Kyle Farmer: 10 Day IL (Face), Tyler Mahle: 15 Day IL (Arm), Kenta Maeda: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

White Sox: Romy Gonzalez: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Yoán Moncada: 10 Day IL (Back), Liam Hendriks: 15 Day IL (Illness), Garrett Crochet: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Matt Foster: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Reynaldo López: day-to-day (Biceps), Jake Burger: day-to-day (Left side discomfort)