Braves vs. Orioles Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 5, 2023

Led by Marcell Ozuna (two-game homer streak), the Atlanta Braves (22-10) are favorites versus the Baltimore Orioles (21-10) Friday at 7:20 PM ET. Sportsbooks have named the Braves as -221 favorites for the game, which airs on BSSE.

Atlanta’s Max Fried and Baltimore’s Dean Kremer have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Orioles Odds

• Braves odds to win: -221
• Orioles odds to win: +181
• Spread: Braves -1.5
• Total: 8.5 runs

Braves vs. Orioles Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Friday, May 5, 2023
• Time: 7:20 PM ET
• TV: BSSE

Who Will Win Braves vs. Orioles?

Braves and Orioles Betting Trends

The Braves have an 18-10 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 64.3% of those games).

Atlanta has played in six games as moneyline favorites with odds of -221 or shorter and won them all.

This season, the Orioles have been the underdog 12 times and won six, or 50%, of those games.

Baltimore has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +181 odds on it winning this game.

The Braves have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 19 times this season for a 19-12-1 record against the over/under.

The Orioles’ games have gone over the total in 18 of their 31 chances.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves are the fifth-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 5.5 runs per game (176 total).

Atlanta ranks second in MLB play with 54 home runs. They average 1.7 per game.

The Braves have the sixth-best batting average in the league (.263).

Atlanta’s 9.3 strikeouts per game rank 25th in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Braves has a collective 9.4 K/9, the eighth-best in MLB.

Atlanta has a 3.51 team ERA that ranks sixth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Orioles Stats & Insights

The Orioles are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking sixth with 171 total runs this season.

Baltimore has hit 38 homers this season, which ranks 11th in the majors.

The Orioles rank eighth in MLB with a .259 team batting average.

Baltimore ranks fifth in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of eight Ks per contest.

The Orioles strike out 9.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, ninth-best in MLB.

Baltimore pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.58 ERA this year, which ranks 18th in MLB.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Fried (2-0 with a .45 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 20 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Braves, his fifth of the season.

Ronald Acuna Jr. leads Atlanta with a batting average of .355. He’s also hit six home runs with 20 RBI.

Ozzie Albies is batting .288 this season with a team-high nine home runs and 26 RBI.

Sean Murphy has 27 hits this season and a slash line of .287/.437/.628.

Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs (nine) and runs batted in (26) this season while batting .244.

Orioles Key Players to Watch

Kremer (2-1) will take to the mound for the Orioles and make his seventh start of the season.

Jorge Mateo leads the Orioles with a team-high batting average of .321.

Cedric Mullins has collected 26 runs batted in to lead his team.

Adley Rutschman has five doubles, four home runs and 26 walks while hitting .299.

Ryan Mountcastle’s eight home runs and 26 runs batted in both pace his team.

Braves and Orioles Injuries

Braves: Ehire Adrianza: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Orlando Arcia: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Kyle Wright: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion), Michael Harris II: day-to-day (Leg)

Orioles: Mychal Givens: 15 Day IL (Knee), Dillon Tate: 15 Day IL (Elbow), John Means: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Austin Hays: day-to-day (Finger)

Braves vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 4, Orioles 3

Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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