Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 5, 2023

May 5, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Los Angeles Dodgers (19-13) will vie for their seventh straight victory when they visit the San Diego Padres (17-15) on Friday at 9:40 PM ET on MLB Network. The Dodgers are listed as -113 favorites by bookmakers, while the Padres are -106 underdogs.

Clayton Kershaw gets the starting nod for Los Angeles while Yu Darvish is San Diego’s starter for the contest.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds

Dodgers odds to win: -113
Padres odds to win: -106
Spread: Dodgers -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, May 5, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Dodgers vs. Padres?

Dodgers and Padres Betting Trends

The Dodgers are 18-12 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games).

When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -113 or shorter, Los Angeles has an 18-12 record (winning 60% of its games).

The Padres have won six, or 50%, of the 12 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

San Diego has a record of 5-5 in games where bookmakers have it as underdogs of at least -106 on the moneyline.

The Dodgers have played in 32 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 19 times (19-12-1).

The Padres’ games have gone over the total in 13 of their 32 chances.

Dodgers Stats & Insights

The Dodgers score the fourth-most runs in baseball (182 total, 5.7 per game).

Los Angeles averages 1.7 home runs per game to rank second in baseball with 54 total home runs.

The Dodgers have the 17th-ranked batting average in the majors (.242).

Los Angeles’ hitters strike out 9.5 times per game, the 28th-most in MLB.

The 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Dodgers pitching staff ranks 24th in MLB.

Los Angeles has a 4.32 team ERA that ranks 13th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have scored the 14th-most runs in the league this season with 137 (4.3 per game).

San Diego ranks 12th in Major League Baseball with 37 home runs.

The Padres’ .235 batting average ranks 22nd in the league this season.

San Diego ranks 17th with an average of 8.8 strikeouts per game.

The Padres average the 22nd-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.5) in the league this season.

San Diego has the 16th-ranked ERA (4.37) in the majors this season.

Dodgers Key Players to Watch

Kershaw (5-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 41 strikeouts in 38 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Dodgers, his seventh of the season.

Max Muncy leads Los Angeles in home runs (12) and runs batted in (27) this season while batting .239.

Freddie Freeman’s batting average of .317 leads all Los Angeles hitters this season.

Mookie Betts has collected 31 base hits, an OBP of .373 and a slugging percentage of .478 this season.

James Outman has 31 hits and an OBP of .382 to go with a slugging percentage of .598 this season.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Darvish (1-2) will take the mound for the Padres, his sixth start of the season.

Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres with six home runs and has accumulated a team-best batting average of .291.

Juan Soto has put up 17 runs batted in to pace his team.

Jake Cronenworth is batting .241 with eight doubles, two triples, three home runs and 11 walks.

Trent Grisham is batting .236 with 10 doubles, four home runs and 17 walks.

Dodgers and Padres Injuries

Dodgers: J.D. Martínez: 10 Day IL (Back), Michael Grove: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jimmy Nelson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Pepiot: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Daniel Hudson: 60 Day IL (Knee), Walker Buehler: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Álex Reyes: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), J.P. Feyereisen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Blake Treinen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Gavin Lux: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Jose Azocar: 10 Day IL (Elbow inflammation), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)