Brewers vs. Giants Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 5, 2023

May 5, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Milwaukee Brewers (18-13) stumble into Friday’s matchup with the San Francisco Giants (13-17) looking to break a four-game losing streak. The contest starts at 10:15 PM ET on NBCS-BA with the Brewers listed as -124 favorites to right the ship.

Corbin Burnes will get the ball for Milwaukee while San Francisco will counter with Sean Manaea.

Brewers vs. Giants Odds

Brewers odds to win: -124
Giants odds to win: +105
Spread: Brewers -1.5
Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, May 5, 2023
Time: 10:15 PM ET
TV: NBCS-BA

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Who Will Win Brewers vs. Giants?

Brewers and Giants Betting Trends

The Brewers have put together an 11-9 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 55% of those games).

Milwaukee has gone 9-8 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -124 or shorter (52.9% winning percentage).

The Giants have entered the game as underdogs 19 times this season and won eight, or 42.1%, of those games.

San Francisco is 6-9 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +105 or more on the moneyline.

The Brewers have played in 31 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 13 times (13-17-1).

The Giants’ games have gone over the total in 14 of their 30 chances.

Brewers Stats & Insights

The Brewers have the No. 14 offense in baseball scoring 4.4 runs per game (137 total runs).

Milwaukee averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank 13th in MLB action with 36 total home runs .

The Brewers’ .242 batting average ranks 17th in MLB.

Milwaukee strikes out 9.1 times per game to rank 19th in MLB.

The Brewers pitching staff ranks 25th in the majors with a collective 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

Milwaukee has the seventh-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.53).

Giants Stats & Insights

The Giants have scored the 18th-most runs in the league this season with 135 (4.5 per game).

San Francisco has hit 49 homers this season, which ranks fourth in the majors.

The Giants rank 19th in MLB with a .241 team batting average.

San Francisco is a team with a lot of swing and miss this season, ranking last with an average of 10.6 strikeouts per game.

The Giants have a 9.1 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 11th in the majors.

San Francisco pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.77 ERA this year, which ranks 21st in MLB.

Brewers Key Players to Watch

Burnes (3-1 with a 4.01 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 33 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Brewers, his seventh of the season.

Rowdy Tellez leads Milwaukee in home runs with nine and runs batted in with 22.

Christian Yelich has 28 hits and an OBP of .331 to go with a slugging percentage of .383 this season.

Brian Anderson has collected 28 base hits, an OBP of .333 and a slugging percentage of .472 this season.

Willy Adames has 24 hits and an OBP of .316 to go with a slugging percentage of .381 this season.

Giants Key Players to Watch

The Giants will hand the ball to Manaea (0-1) for his fifth start of the season.

Thairo Estrada paces the Giants with a team-best batting average of .342.

LaMonte Wade Jr’s six home runs pace his team.

Wilmer Flores is hitting .253 with three doubles, five home runs and six walks.

J.D. Davis has put his power on display as he paces his team with six home runs and 17 runs batted in.

Brewers and Giants Injuries

Brewers: Brandon Woodruff: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Gus Varland: 15 Day IL (Hand), Matt Bush: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Adrian Houser: 15 Day IL (Groin), Luis Urías: 60 Day IL (Hamstring), Garrett Mitchell: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jason Alexander: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Aaron Ashby: 60 Day IL (Labrum)

Giants: Darin Ruf: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Brandon Crawford: 10 Day IL (Calf), Mike Yastrzemski: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Alex Wood: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Roberto Pérez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luke Jackson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis González: 60 Day IL (Back), Thomas Szapucki: 60 Day IL (Left arm), Bryce Johnson: 7 Day IL (Concussion)