Mariners vs. Astros Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 5, 2023

May 5, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Seattle Mariners (15-16) roll into Friday’s matchup with the Houston Astros (16-15) looking to extend a four-game winning streak. The contest starts at 10:10 PM ET on ROOT Sports NW with the Mariners listed as -136 favorites on the moneyline.

Luis Castillo will get the ball for Seattle while Houston will counter with Cristian Javier.

Mariners vs. Astros Odds

Mariners odds to win: -136
Astros odds to win: +115
Spread: Mariners -1.5
Total: 7 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, May 5, 2023
Time: 10:10 PM ET
TV: ROOT Sports NW

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Who Will Win Mariners vs. Astros?

Mariners and Astros Betting Trends

The Mariners have won 55% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (11-9).

When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -136 or shorter, Seattle has gone 7-5 (58.3%).

The Astros have won seven of the 10 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Houston has played as an underdog of +115 or more twice this season and split those games.

The Mariners have played in 31 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 15 times (15-14-2).

So far this season, the Astros and their opponents have hit the over in 16 of their 31 games with a total.

Mariners Stats & Insights

The Mariners have the No. 20 offense in MLB action scoring 4.3 runs per game (134 total runs).

Seattle ranks 15th in MLB action with 35 total home runs.

The Mariners are last in the majors with a .217 batting average.

Seattle’s hitters strike out 9.8 times per game, the 27th-most in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Mariners has a collective 8.9 K/9, which ranks 14th in MLB.

Seattle has the fifth-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.48).

Astros Stats & Insights

The Astros rank 14th in the majors with 137 total runs scored this season.

Houston has hit 28 homers this season, which ranks 23rd in the majors.

The Astros’ .240 batting average ranks 20th in the league this season.

Houston ranks sixth in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.1 Ks per contest.

The Astros average 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, fourth-most in the league.

Houston has pitched to a 3.20 ERA this season, which ranks second in baseball.

Mariners Key Players to Watch

Castillo makes the start for the Mariners, his seventh of the season. He is 2-0 with a 1.82 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 34 2/3 innings pitched.

Jarred Kelenic leads Seattle in batting average (.304) and home runs (seven) this season, while also chipping in with 15 RBI.

Ty France has collected 27 hits this season and has an OBP of .326. He’s slugging .339 on the year.

Julio Rodriguez has 27 hits this season and a slash line of .223/.293/.413.

Cal Raleigh leads Seattle in runs batted in with 18 while batting .215 with five homers.

Astros Key Players to Watch

The Astros’ Javier (2-1) will make his seventh start of the season.

Kyle Tucker has three doubles, five home runs and 21 walks while hitting .259.

Alex Bregman is hitting .212 with four doubles, four home runs and 21 walks.

Yordan Alvarez has a team-high six home runs and 27 runs batted in.

Jeremy Pena’s six home runs are a team-high mark.

Mariners and Astros Injuries

Mariners: Dylan Moore: 10 Day IL (Olique), Easton McGee: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Andres Munoz: 15 Day IL (Deltoid), Robbie Ray: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Evan White: 60 Day IL (Adductor)

Astros: Chas McCormick: 10 Day IL (Back), Jose Altuve: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Michael Brantley: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Jose Urquidy: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Garcia: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Lance McCullers Jr.: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Parker Mushinski: 15 Day IL (Spine)