Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 5, 2023

Masataka Yoshida (14 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Boston Red Sox (19-14) and Philadelphia Phillies (15-17) meet Friday at 7:05 PM ET, live on NBCS-PH from Citizens Bank Park. Masataka Yoshida and the Red Sox are listed as underdogs on the moneyline by sportsbooks (+138).

Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler gets the start, and he’ll go against Boston’s Chris Sale.

Phillies vs. Red Sox Odds

• Phillies odds to win: -161
• Red Sox odds to win: +138
• Spread: Phillies -1.5
• Total: 8 runs

Phillies vs. Red Sox Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Friday, May 5, 2023
• Time: 7:05 PM ET
• TV: NBCS-PH

Who Will Win Phillies vs. Red Sox?

Phillies and Red Sox Betting Trends

The Phillies have compiled a 10-7 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 58.8% of those games).

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -161 or shorter, Philadelphia has a 5-3 record (winning 62.5% of its games).

This season, the Red Sox have been the underdog 19 times and won 10, or 52.6%, of those games.

Boston is 4-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +138 or more on the moneyline.

The Phillies have had an over/under set by bookmakers 32 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 15 of those games (15-17-0).

The Red Sox’s games have gone over the total in 23 of their 33 chances.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies have the No. 14 offense in MLB play scoring 4.3 runs per game (137 total runs).

Philadelphia ranks 15th in MLB with 35 total home runs.

The Phillies have the fourth-best batting average in the league (.266).

Philadelphia strikes out 9.1 times per game, the No. 24 average in the majors.

The Phillies pitching staff ranks sixth in the majors with a collective 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Philadelphia has the 27th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (5.13).

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking second with 195 total runs this season.

Boston’s 46 home runs rank fifth in Major League Baseball.

The Red Sox rank second in MLB with a .274 team batting average.

Boston has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the seventh-best strikeout rate (7.6 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Red Sox average the 21st-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.6) in the league this season.

Boston pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.87 ERA this year, which ranks 23rd in MLB.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

Wheeler (3-1) gets the starting nod for the Phillies in his seventh start of the season. He’s put together a 3.86 ERA in 32 2/3 innings pitched, with 41 strikeouts.

Nicholas Castellanos is batting .309 with four home runs and 20 RBI for Philadelphia this season.

Alec Bohm is a key run producer for Philadelphia with a .269 average, three homers and 23 RBI.

Brandon Marsh’s batting average of .326 leads all Philadelphia hitters this season.

Kyle Schwarber’s seven home runs are most among Philadelphia batters. He’s driven in 13 runs this season while slugging .409.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

Sale (2-2) will take the mound for the Red Sox, his seventh start of the season.

Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox in home runs (11) and runs batted in (31).

Yoshida is hitting .317 to lead his team.

Alex Verdugo has nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and 11 walks while batting .315.

Justin Turner has seven doubles, two home runs and 15 walks while hitting .286.

Phillies and Red Sox Injuries

Phillies: Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Andrew Bellatti: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Red Sox: Adam Duvall: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Yu Chang: 10 Day IL (Hand), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Kutter Crawford: 15 Day IL (Knee), James Paxton: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee), Alex Verdugo: day-to-day (Illness)

Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Phillies 5

Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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