Astros vs. Mariners Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 6, 2023

May 6, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Houston Astros (17-15) are set to take on the Seattle Mariners (15-17) Saturday at 9:40 PM ET, airing on ROOT Sports NW. The Astros are listed as -125 favorites by oddsmakers, while the underdog Mariners have +106 odds for the contest.

Houston’s J.P. France gets the start, and he’ll go against Seattle’s Marco Gonzales.

Astros vs. Mariners Odds

Astros odds to win: -125
Mariners odds to win: +106
Spread: Astros -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 6, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: ROOT Sports NW

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Who Will Win Astros vs. Mariners?

Astros and Mariners Betting Trends

The Astros have a 9-12 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 42.9% of those games).

Houston has an 8-11 record (winning 42.1% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -125 or shorter.

This season, the Mariners have been the underdog 11 times and won four, or 36.4%, of those games.

Seattle is 2-3 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +106 or more on the moneyline.

The Astros have played in 32 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 17 times (17-14-1).

So far this season, the Mariners and their opponents have hit the over in 16 of their 32 games with a total.

Astros Stats & Insights

The Astros rank 15th in runs scored with 143, 4.5 per game.

Houston is 23rd in MLB action with 30 home runs. They average 0.9 per game.

The Astros rank 18th in the majors with a .240 batting average.

Houston’s batters strike out 8.1 times per game, the fifth-lowest average in baseball.

The Astros pitching staff is third in MLB with a collective 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

Houston has the second-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.23).

Mariners Stats & Insights

The Mariners have scored the 21st-most runs in the league this season with 138 (4.3 per game).

Seattle ranks 17th in Major League Baseball with 35 home runs.

The Mariners rank last in MLB with a team batting average of just .218.

Seattle is a team with a lot of swing and miss this season, ranking 27th with an average of 9.8 strikeouts per game.

The Mariners average the 13th-most strikeouts per nine innings (nine) in the league this season.

Seattle has the seventh-best ERA (3.55) in the majors this season.

Astros Key Players to Watch

France will make his first start of the season for the Astros.

Kyle Tucker has been key for Houston with six home runs, 22 RBI and a batting average of .277 this season.

Yordan Alvarez is batting .263 this season with a team-high seven home runs and 30 RBI.

Alex Bregman is slashing .208/.340/.342 this season for the Astros.

Jeremy Pena is batting .236 with an OBP of .287 and a slugging percentage of .433 this season.

Mariners Key Players to Watch

The Mariners’ Gonzales (2-0) will make his sixth start of the season.

Jarred Kelenic leads the Mariners with seven home runs while racking up a team-best batting average of .302.

Ty France has nine doubles, a home run and 12 walks while hitting .237.

Julio Rodriguez is hitting .216 with six doubles, a triple, five home runs and 10 walks.

Cal Raleigh has five doubles, a triple, five home runs and 15 walks while hitting .216.

Astros and Mariners Injuries

Astros: Chas McCormick: 10 Day IL (Back), Jose Altuve: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Michael Brantley: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Jose Urquidy: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Garcia: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Lance McCullers Jr.: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Parker Mushinski: 15 Day IL (Spine)

Mariners: Dylan Moore: 10 Day IL (Olique), Robbie Ray: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Easton McGee: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Andres Munoz: 15 Day IL (Deltoid), Penn Murfee: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Evan White: 60 Day IL (Adductor)