Blue Jays vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 6, 2023

May 6, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Bryan Reynolds (10 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Pittsburgh Pirates (20-13) and Toronto Blue Jays (19-14) meet Saturday at 6:35 PM ET, live on SportsNet PT from PNC Park. Bryan Reynolds and the Pirates are listed as underdogs on the moneyline by oddsmakers (+117).

Toronto’s Jose Berrios gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Johan Oviedo.

Blue Jays vs. Pirates Odds

Blue Jays odds to win: -137
Pirates odds to win: +117
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 6, 2023
Time: 6:35 PM ET
TV: SportsNet PT

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Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Pirates?

Blue Jays and Pirates Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have been the moneyline favorite 24 total times this season. They’ve gone 14-10 in those games.

When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -137 or shorter, Toronto has gone 10-5 (66.7%).

The Pirates have won 13, or 52%, of the 25 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Pittsburgh has entered 19 games this season as the underdog by +117 or more and is 10-9 in those contests.

The Blue Jays have played in 33 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 14 times (14-17-2).

The Pirates and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of their 33 opportunities.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays rank 11th in runs scored with 155, 4.7 per game.

Toronto ranks 13th in baseball with 37 total home runs.

The Blue Jays rank 11th in MLB with a .254 batting average.

Toronto strikes out 8.1 times per game to rank eighth in the majors.

The Blue Jays pitching staff ranks eighth in the majors with a collective 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Toronto has the 13th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.22).

Pirates Stats & Insights

The Pirates have scored 160 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB.

Pittsburgh has hit 35 homers this season, which ranks 17th in the majors.

The Pirates’ .252 batting average ranks 12th in the league this season.

Pittsburgh is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking ninth with an average of 8.1 strikeouts per game.

The Pirates have an 8.9 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 14th in the majors.

Pittsburgh pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.65 ERA this year, ninth-best in baseball.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Berrios (2-3) takes the mound for the Blue Jays in his seventh start of the season. He’s put together a 5.29 ERA in 34 2/3 innings pitched, with 34 strikeouts.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads Toronto in home runs this season with seven while driving in 21 runs.

Bo Bichette leads Toronto in home runs with seven and runs batted in with 22.

Matt Chapman is batting .350 to lead Toronto, while adding five homers and 21 runs batted in this season.

Daulton Varsho has collected 26 hits this season and has an OBP of .313. He’s slugging .379 on the year.

Pirates Key Players to Watch

The Pirates’ Oviedo (2-2) will make his seventh start of the season.

Reynolds has accumulated a team-best batting average of .322 and leads the Pirates in runs batted in (23).

Carlos Santana is batting .270 with 11 doubles, two home runs and 15 walks.

Andrew McCutchen has a team-best six home runs.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .225 with eight doubles, two triples, a home run and 10 walks.

Blue Jays and Pirates Injuries

Blue Jays: Zach Pop: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Pirates: Vince Velásquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rob Zastryzny: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chase De Jong: 15 Day IL (Knee), Wil Crowe: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Oneil Cruz: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Ji-Man Choi: 60 Day IL (Achilles), Jarlin García: 60 Day IL (Arm), Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Andrew McCutchen: day-to-day (Ankle)