Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 6, 2023

May 6, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Corbin Carroll (10 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Arizona Diamondbacks (18-14) and Washington Nationals (13-19) meet Saturday at 8:10 PM ET, live on BSAZ from Chase Field. Carroll and the Diamondbacks are favored by sportsbooks with -129 odds on the moneyline.

Arizona’s Tommy Henry gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s MacKenzie Gore.

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Odds

Diamondbacks odds to win: -129
Nationals odds to win: +109
Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 6, 2023
Time: 8:10 PM ET
TV: BSAZ

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Who Will Win Diamondbacks vs. Nationals?

Diamondbacks and Nationals Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have won six of the nine games they were favored on the moneyline this season (66.7%).

Arizona has gone 5-3 (winning 62.5% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -129 or shorter.

The Nationals have entered the game as underdogs 32 times this season and won 13, or 40.6%, of those games.

Washington has entered 31 games this season as the underdog by +109 or more and is 12-19 in those contests.

The Diamondbacks have played in 32 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 16 times (16-14-2).

The Nationals and their opponents have hit the over in 12 of their 32 games with a total this season.

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks score the eighth-most runs in baseball (164 total, 5.1 per game).

Arizona averages one home run per game to rank 22nd in baseball with 32 total home runs .

The Diamondbacks’ .265 batting average is fourth-best in MLB.

Arizona strikes out 7.4 times per game, the second-fewest average in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Diamondbacks has a collective 8.5 K/9, which ranks 21st in the majors.

Arizona has the 24th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.82).

Nationals Stats & Insights

The Nationals are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 27th with just 116 total runs (3.6 per game) this season.

Washington ranks 29th in Major League Baseball with just 19 home runs as a team.

The Nationals rank 15th in MLB with a .248 team batting average.

No team has fewer strikeouts this season than Washington, which has struck out only 6.9 times per game on average.

The Nationals have a 7.8 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 25th in the majors.

Washington has the 15th-ranked ERA (4.29) in the majors this season.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

Henry (1-0) gets the start for the Diamondbacks, his third of the season.

Christian Walker leads Arizona in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (25) this season while batting .272.

Carroll leads Arizona in batting with a .324 average while slugging five homers and driving in 10 runs.

Ketel Marte has 28 hits this season and a slash line of .262/.322/.505.

Geraldo Perdomo has collected 27 hits this season and has an OBP of .468. He’s slugging .618 on the year.

Nationals Key Players to Watch

The Nationals will send Gore (3-2) to the mound for his seventh start this season.

Luis Garcia has racked up a team-best 15 runs batted in.

Victor Robles’ .292 batting average leads his team.

Alex Call has three doubles, three home runs and 15 walks while batting .221.

Lane Thomas is batting .270 with four doubles, a triple, two home runs and eight walks.

Diamondbacks and Nationals Injuries

Diamondbacks: Kyle Lewis: 10 Day IL (Illness), Carson Kelly: 10 Day IL (Forearm), Zach Davies: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)

Nationals: Corey Dickerson: 10 Day IL (Calf), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Carter Kieboom: 10 Day IL (Finger), Chad Kuhl: 15 Day IL (Foot), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)