Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 6, 2023

May 6, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Following a big two-homer game last time out, Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres (18-15) into action as -109 underdogs against the Los Angeles Dodgers (19-14). First pitch from PETCO Park at 8:40 PM ET on Saturday, live on BSSD.

Los Angeles’ Dustin May and San Diego’s Blake Snell have been named the starters for this contest.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds

Dodgers odds to win: -111
Padres odds to win: -109
Spread: Dodgers -1.5
Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 6, 2023
Time: 8:40 PM ET
TV: BSSD

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Who Will Win Dodgers vs. Padres?

Dodgers and Padres Betting Trends

The Dodgers have an 18-13 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 58.1% of those games).

Los Angeles has gone 18-13 (winning 58.1% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -111 or shorter.

The Padres have been underdogs in 13 games this season and won seven (53.8%) of those contests.

This season, San Diego has won seven of its 12 games, or 58.3%, when it’s the underdog by at least -109 on the moneyline.

The Dodgers have combined with opponents to go over the total 19 times this season for a 19-13-1 record against the over/under.

The Padres and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 13 of their 33 opportunities.

Dodgers Stats & Insights

The Dodgers have the No. 4 offense in MLB action scoring 5.6 runs per game (184 total runs).

Los Angeles ranks third-best in MLB action with 54 total home runs.

The Dodgers’ .239 batting average ranks 19th in MLB.

Los Angeles’ 9.5 strikeouts per game are the fourth-most in the majors.

The 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Dodgers pitching staff ranks 24th in MLB.

Los Angeles’ 4.36 team ERA ranks 16th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have scored the 16th-most runs in the league this season with 142 (4.3 per game).

San Diego ranks 12th in Major League Baseball with 39 home runs.

The Padres’ .236 batting average ranks 21st in the league this season.

San Diego ranks 18th with an average of 8.9 strikeouts per game.

The Padres have an 8.5 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 21st in the majors.

San Diego has the 14th-ranked ERA (4.27) in the majors this season.

Dodgers Key Players to Watch

May gets the start for the Dodgers, his seventh of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.15 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 34 1/3 innings pitched.

Max Muncy is batting .232 this season with a team-high 12 home runs and 28 RBI.

Freddie Freeman is batting .315 to lead Los Angeles, while adding five homers and 14 runs batted in this season.

Mookie Betts is slashing .263/.370/.466 this season for the Dodgers.

James Outman is batting .282 with an OBP of .373 and a slugging percentage of .582 this season.

Padres Key Players to Watch

The Padres will hand the ball to Snell (1-4) for his seventh start of the season.

Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres with six home runs and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .283.

Juan Soto has totaled 17 runs batted in to lead his team.

Jake Cronenworth is hitting .246 with eight doubles, two triples, three home runs and 14 walks.

Trent Grisham is hitting .231 with 10 doubles, four home runs and 19 walks.

Dodgers and Padres Injuries

Dodgers: J.D. Martínez: 10 Day IL (Back), Michael Grove: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jimmy Nelson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Pepiot: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Daniel Hudson: 60 Day IL (Knee), Walker Buehler: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Álex Reyes: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), J.P. Feyereisen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Blake Treinen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Gavin Lux: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Padres: Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Jose Azocar: 10 Day IL (Elbow inflammation), David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)