Mets vs. Rockies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 6, 2023

May 6, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The New York Mets (17-16) are favorites (-221) on the moneyline when they square off against the Colorado Rockies (12-21) Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, live on SNY.

Tylor Megill starts for New York while Austin Gomber is Colorado’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Rockies Odds

Mets odds to win: -221
Rockies odds to win: +182
Spread: Mets -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 6, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: SNY

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Who Will Win Mets vs. Rockies?

Mets and Rockies Betting Trends

The Mets have won 56.5% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (13-10).

New York has played in three games as moneyline favorites with odds of -221 or shorter and won every time.

This season, the Rockies have been the underdog 26 times and won 10, or 38.5%, of those games.

This season, Colorado has won one of its nine games, or 11.1%, when it’s the underdog by at least +182 on the moneyline.

The Mets have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 14 times this season for a 14-18-1 record against the over/under.

The Rockies’ games have gone over the total in 14 of their 33 chances.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets have the No. 14 offense in MLB play scoring 4.3 runs per game (142 total runs).

New York ranks 17th in MLB action with 35 total home runs.

The Mets are 21st in MLB with a .236 batting average.

New York strikes out 7.7 times per game, the fourth-fewest average in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Mets has a collective 8.6 K/9, which ranks 20th in MLB.

New York has a 4.47 team ERA that ranks 17th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Rockies Stats & Insights

The Rockies have scored 134 runs (4.1 per game) this season, which ranks 23rd in MLB.

Colorado ranks 27th in Major League Baseball with just 26 home runs as a team.

The Rockies rank 12th in MLB with a .252 team batting average.

Colorado ranks 19th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.8 Ks per contest.

The Rockies have a 7.8 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 25th in the majors.

Colorado has the 26th-ranked ERA (4.99) in the majors this season.

Mets Key Players to Watch

The Mets are sending Megill (3-1) to the mound to make his seventh start of the season. He is 3-1 with a 4.11 ERA and 23 strikeouts through 30 2/3 innings pitched.

Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs (11) and runs batted in (28) this season while batting .238.

Brandon Nimmo’s batting average of .311 leads all New York hitters this season.

Jeff McNeil has collected 32 base hits, an OBP of .390 and a slugging percentage of .400 this season.

Francisco Lindor is batting .213 with an OBP of .312 and a slugging percentage of .426 this season.

Rockies Key Players to Watch

The Rockies will hand the ball to Gomber (2-4) for his seventh start of the season.

Charlie Blackmon has seven doubles, three home runs and 14 walks while batting .268.

Kris Bryant is batting .304 with five doubles, four home runs and 13 walks.

Elias Diaz has put up a team-high batting average of .337 while pacing the Rockies in runs batted in (16).

C.J. Cron has put his power on display as he paces his team with six home runs and 16 RBI.

Mets and Rockies Injuries

Mets: Tim Locastro: 10 Day IL (Back spasms), Brooks Raley: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Left ankle), Carlos Carrasco: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Elieser Hernandez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Omar Narváez: 60 Day IL (Calf), Stephen Ridings: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)

Rockies: German Márquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Dinelson Lamet: 15 Day IL (Back), Noah Davis: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Rolison: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Lucas Gilbreath: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brendan Rodgers: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Tyler Kinley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Sean Bouchard: 60 Day IL (Biceps)