Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 6, 2023

May 6, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Masataka Yoshida (15 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the Boston Red Sox (20-14) and Philadelphia Phillies (15-18) meet Saturday at 7:15 PM ET, live on FOX from Citizens Bank Park. Masataka Yoshida and the Red Sox are listed as underdogs on the moneyline by oddsmakers (+135).

Philadelphia’s Bailey Falter and Boston’s Corey Kluber have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Red Sox Odds

Phillies odds to win: -158
Red Sox odds to win: +135
Spread: Phillies -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 6, 2023
Time: 7:15 PM ET
TV: FOX

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Who Will Win Phillies vs. Red Sox?

Phillies and Red Sox Betting Trends

The Phillies have won 10 of the 18 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (55.6%).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -158 or shorter, Philadelphia has gone 5-4 (55.6%).

The Red Sox have won 11, or 55%, of the 20 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Boston is 6-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +135 or more on the moneyline.

In the 33 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Phillies, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 15 times (15-17-1).

Games involving the Red Sox have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 23 of 34 chances this season.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies are the 18th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.2 runs per game (140 total).

Philadelphia ranks 17th in MLB action with 35 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Phillies’ .265 batting average is fourth-best in MLB.

Philadelphia strikes out 9.3 times per game to rank 25th in baseball.

The Phillies pitching staff ranks sixth in MLB with a collective 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Philadelphia has the 27th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (5.10).

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox have scored the second-most runs in the league this season with 200.

Boston’s 46 home runs rank fifth in Major League Baseball.

The Red Sox have a team batting average of .273 this season, which ranks second among MLB teams.

Boston is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking fifth with an average of 7.6 strikeouts per game.

The Red Sox have an 8.7 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 18th in the majors.

Boston has the 22nd-ranked ERA (4.81) in the majors this season.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

Falter (0-5) takes the mound for the Phillies in his seventh start of the season. He’s put together a 5.01 ERA in 32 1/3 innings pitched, with 22 strikeouts.

Nicholas Castellanos is batting .315 with four home runs and 21 RBI for Philadelphia this season.

Alec Bohm is a key run producer for Philadelphia with a .270 average, three homers and 24 RBI.

Brandon Marsh’s batting average of .326 leads all Philadelphia hitters this season.

Bryson Stott has 41 hits and an OBP of .329 to go with a slugging percentage of .397 this season.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

The Red Sox’s Kluber (1-4) will make his seventh start of the season.

Rafael Devers has accumulated a team-high 11 home runs and 32 runs batted in.

Yoshida has a club-high .315 batting average.

Alex Verdugo paces the Red Sox with a .315 batting average.

Justin Turner has seven doubles, two home runs and 15 walks while hitting .275.

Phillies and Red Sox Injuries

Phillies: Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Andrew Bellatti: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Red Sox: Yu Chang: 10 Day IL (Hand), Kutter Crawford: 15 Day IL (Knee), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Elbow), James Paxton: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Adam Duvall: 60 Day IL (Wrist), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee)