Rays vs. Yankees Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 6, 2023

May 6, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Tampa Bay Rays (27-6), led by the red-hot Randy Arozarena and his two-game homer streak, are -179 favorites to pick up a win over the New York Yankees (17-16) Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, live from Tropicana Field and broadcast on BSSUN.

Tampa Bay’s Drew Rasmussen gets the start, and he’ll go against New York’s Domingo German.

Rays vs. Yankees Odds

Rays odds to win: -179
Yankees odds to win: +153
Spread: Rays -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 6, 2023
Time: 4:10 PM ET
TV: BSSUN

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Who Will Win Rays vs. Yankees?

Rays and Yankees Betting Trends

The Rays have been the moneyline favorite 32 total times this season. They’ve gone 27-5 in those games.

Tampa Bay has gone 18-2 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -179 or shorter (90% winning percentage).

This season, the Yankees have won one out of the eight games in which they’ve been the underdog.

New York has played as an underdog of +153 or more twice this season and lost both games.

The Rays have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 33 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 18 of those games (18-12-3).

The Yankees’ games have gone over the total in 11 of their 33 chances.

Rays Stats & Insights

The Rays are the top-scoring team in baseball averaging 6.5 runs per game (215 total).

The Tampa Bay Rays average 2.1 home runs per game and have hit an MLB-high 69 home runs in total.

The Rays have a league-best .277 batting average.

Tampa Bay’s 8.5 strikeouts per game rank 15th in the majors.

The Rays pitching staff is 16th in MLB with a collective 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

Tampa Bay has the first-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (2.91).

Yankees Stats & Insights

The Yankees have scored the 25th-most runs in the league this season with 130 (3.9 per game).

New York ranks 11th in Major League Baseball with 40 home runs.

The Yankees have a team batting average of just .228 this season, which ranks 26th among MLB teams.

New York ranks 10th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.2 Ks per contest.

The Yankees have a 9.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, fourth-best in baseball.

New York has pitched to a 3.59 ERA this season, which ranks seventh in baseball.

Rays Key Players to Watch

Rasmussen gets the start for the Rays, his seventh of the season. He is 3-2 with a 3.66 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 32 2/3 innings pitched.

Yandy Diaz leads Tampa Bay in home runs this season with nine while driving in 18 runs.

Arozarena leads Tampa Bay in home runs with nine, runs batted in with 30 and a batting average of .328.

Wander Franco has collected 38 base hits, an OBP of .374 and a slugging percentage of .560 this season.

Josh Lowe has collected 28 hits this season and has an OBP of .383. He’s slugging .616 on the year.

Yankees Key Players to Watch

The Yankees’ German (2-2) will make his seventh start of the season.

Gleyber Torres is batting .236 with five doubles, a triple, four home runs and 17 walks.

Anthony Rizzo has 14 RBI while hitting .286. Both pace his team.

Anthony Volpe is batting .229 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs and 16 walks.

DJ LeMahieu is batting .275 with six doubles, a triple, three home runs and 10 walks.

Rays and Yankees Injuries

Rays: Pete Fairbanks: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Tyler Glasnow: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Jeffrey Springs: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shane Baz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shawn Armstrong: 60 Day IL (Neck), Andrew Kittredge: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Josh Fleming: day-to-day (Foot)

Yankees: Giancarlo Stanton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Josh Donaldson: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Aaron Judge: 10 Day IL (Hip), Ben Rortvedt: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Jonathan Loaisiga: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Carlos Rodón: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Luis Severino: 15 Day IL (Lat), Lou Trivino: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tommy Kahnle: 60 Day IL (Biceps), Oswald Peraza: day-to-day (Ankle)