Guardians vs. Twins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, May 6, 2023

May 6, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Minnesota Twins (19-14) serve as underdogs on the moneyline (-109) in Saturday’s contest with the Cleveland Guardians (14-18). First pitch is at 6:10 PM ET on BSGL. The Twins are favored against the spread in this one (1.5) with +159 odds.

Cleveland’s Logan Allen and Minnesota’s Sonny Gray have been named the starters for this contest.

Guardians vs. Twins Odds

Guardians odds to win: -110
Twins odds to win: -109
Spread: Twins -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, May 6, 2023
Time: 6:10 PM ET
TV: BSGL

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Who Will Win Guardians vs. Twins?

Guardians and Twins Betting Trends

The Guardians have gone 9-10 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 47.4% of those games).

Cleveland has gone 9-10 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -110 or shorter (47.4% winning percentage).

The Twins have been underdogs in 10 games this season and won two (20%) of those contests.

This season, Minnesota has won two of its 10 games, or 20%, when it’s the underdog by at least -109 on the moneyline.

The Guardians have played in 31 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 11 times (11-19-1).

The Twins and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 14 of their 33 opportunities.

Guardians Stats & Insights

The Guardians are the fourth-lowest scoring team in MLB play averaging 3.6 runs per game (116 total).

Cleveland is last in MLB play with 17 home runs.

The Guardians have the third-worst batting average in the league (.224).

Cleveland’s hitters strike out 7.7 times per game, the third-lowest average in baseball.

The 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Guardians pitching staff ranks last in MLB.

Cleveland has the 12th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.91).

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins have scored 149 runs (4.5 per game) this season, which ranks 12th in MLB.

Minnesota ranks seventh in Major League Baseball with 43 home runs.

The Twins have a team batting average of just .223 this season, which ranks 29th among MLB teams.

Minnesota ranks 29th in strikeouts per game (9.7) among MLB offenses.

The Twins have a 9.8 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, second-best in baseball.

Minnesota pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.34 ERA this year, third-best in baseball.

Guardians Key Players to Watch

Allen (1-1) gets the start for the Guardians, his third of the season.

Jose Ramirez leads Cleveland in homers with three while also maintaining a team-best .285 batting average.

Steven Kwan has collected 34 hits this season and has an OBP of .367. He’s slugging .315 on the year.

Josh Bell is slugging .366 this season, with a team-high three home runs. He’s also collected 14 RBI.

Andres Gimenez has collected 26 hits this season and has an OBP of .315. He’s slugging .345 on the year.

Twins Key Players to Watch

Gray (4-0) will take to the mound for the Twins and make his seventh start of the season.

Byron Buxton leads the Twins in home runs (eight), runs batted in (19) and has put up a team-high batting average of .255.

Joey Gallo has three doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 12 walks while batting .179.

Carlos Correa is hitting .198 with five doubles, a triple, four home runs and 13 walks.

Jose Miranda is batting .215 with three doubles, three home runs and nine walks.

Guardians and Twins Injuries

Guardians: Aaron Civale: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Cody Morris: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Twins: Kyle Farmer: 10 Day IL (Face), Kenta Maeda: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Caleb Thielbar: 15 Day IL (Oblique strain), Ronny Henriquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Tyler Mahle: 60 Day IL (Arm), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow)