Braves vs. Orioles Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 7, 2023

The Atlanta Braves (23-11) are -159 favorites to take Game 3 of th series from the Baltimore Orioles (22-11) Sunday at 11:35 AM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied, and the underdog Orioles are listed with +136 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory.

Atlanta’s Bryce Elder gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Tyler Wells.

Braves vs. Orioles Odds

• Braves odds to win: -159
• Orioles odds to win: +136
• Spread: Braves -1.5
• Total: 9 runs

Braves vs. Orioles Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023
• Time: 11:35 AM ET
• TV: NBC

Who Will Win Braves vs. Orioles?

Braves and Orioles Betting Trends

The Braves have won 19 of the 30 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (63.3%).

When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -159 or shorter, Atlanta has a 9-3 record (winning 75% of its games).

The Orioles have entered the game as underdogs 14 times this season and won seven, or 50%, of those games.

Baltimore has a record of 1-2 when it’s set as an underdog of +136 or more by oddsmakers this season.

In the 34 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Braves, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 21 times (21-12-1).

The Orioles and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 20 of their 33 opportunities.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves have the No. 5 offense in baseball scoring 5.4 runs per game (185 total runs).

Atlanta averages 1.7 home runs per game to rank second in MLB play with 57 total home runs.

The Braves are fifth in the majors with a .265 batting average.

Atlanta strikes out 9 times per game, the No. 23 average in baseball.

The Braves pitching staff is third in the majors with a collective 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

Atlanta’s 3.60 team ERA ranks seventh across all MLB pitching staffs.

Orioles Stats & Insights

The Orioles have scored 184 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB.

Baltimore ranks ninth in Major League Baseball with 41 home runs.

The Orioles’ .260 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking eighth in MLB.

Baltimore has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the eighth-best strikeout rate (8.4 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Orioles average 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, 10th-most in the league.

Baltimore has the 19th-ranked ERA (4.59) in the majors this season.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Elder (3-0) takes the mound for the Braves in his seventh start of the season. He’s put together a 1.75 ERA in 36 2/3 innings pitched, with 32 strikeouts.

Ronald Acuna Jr. leads Atlanta with a batting average of .351. He’s also hit six home runs with 21 RBI.

Sean Murphy leads Atlanta in home runs (nine) and runs batted in (28) this season while batting .287.

Ozzie Albies’ nine home runs lead all Atlanta hitters, and he’s slugging .564.

Matt Olson’s nine home runs are most among Atlanta batters. He’s driven in 26 runs this season while slugging .515.

Orioles Key Players to Watch

The Orioles will hand the ball to Wells (2-1) for his sixth start of the season.

Cedric Mullins has accumulated a team-best 28 runs batted in.

Ryan Mountcastle’s eight home runs are a team-high mark.

Adley Rutschman is batting .285 with five doubles, four home runs and 29 walks.

Jorge Mateo’s .304 batting average leads his team.

Braves and Orioles Injuries

Braves: Ehire Adrianza: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Lucas Luetge: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Kyle Wright: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Travis d’Arnaud: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

Orioles: Mychal Givens: 15 Day IL (Knee), Dillon Tate: 15 Day IL (Elbow), John Means: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Braves vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Braves 5, Orioles 4

Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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