Giants vs. Brewers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 7, 2023

May 7, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Francisco Giants (15-17) will vie for their fifth straight victory when they host the Milwaukee Brewers (18-15) on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET on MLB Network. The Giants are listed as -141 favorites by oddsmakers, while the Brewers are +120 underdogs.

San Francisco’s Ross Stripling and Milwaukee’s Adrian Houser have been named the starters for this contest.

Giants vs. Brewers Odds

Giants odds to win: -141
Brewers odds to win: +120
Spread: Giants -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023
Time: 4:05 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Giants vs. Brewers?

Giants and Brewers Betting Trends

The Giants have gone 6-6 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games).

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -141 or shorter, San Francisco has a record of 2-5 (28.6%).

The Brewers have won seven, or 58.3%, of the 12 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Milwaukee has a record of 5-4 in games where oddsmakers have it as underdogs of at least +120 on the moneyline.

The Giants have combined with opponents to go over the total 15 times this season for a 15-16-1 record against the over/under.

Games involving the Brewers have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 14 of 33 chances this season.

Giants Stats & Insights

The Giants have the No. 14 offense in MLB play scoring 4.5 runs per game (145 total runs).

San Francisco is fourth in baseball with 53 home runs. They average 1.7 per game.

The Giants have the 19th-ranked batting average in the majors (.238).

San Francisco strikes out 10.3 times per game, the second-worst average in baseball.

The Giants pitching staff is 10th in the majors with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

San Francisco’s 4.59 team ERA ranks 19th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Brewers Stats & Insights

The Brewers have scored the 20th-most runs in the league this season with 142 (4.3 per game).

Milwaukee ranks 17th in Major League Baseball with 36 home runs.

The Brewers rank 18th in MLB with a .240 team batting average.

Milwaukee ranks 20th in strikeouts per game (9.2) among MLB offenses.

The Brewers average just 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, which ranks 26th in the league.

Milwaukee has the sixth-best ERA (3.56) in the majors this season.

Giants Key Players to Watch

The Giants will send Stripling (0-1) out for his fourth start of the season. He is 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 20 2/3 innings pitched.

Thairo Estrada leads San Francisco with a .336 batting average. He’s also hit five homers and has 13 RBI.

LaMonte Wade Jr has 21 hits and an OBP of .438 to go with a slugging percentage of .524 this season.

J.D. Davis leads San Francisco in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (19) this season while batting .289.

Wilmer Flores is batting .262 with an OBP of .311 and a slugging percentage of .512 this season.

Brewers Key Players to Watch

Houser will make his first start of the season for the Brewers.

Rowdy Tellez has racked up a team-high nine home runs and 22 runs batted in.

Christian Yelich has four doubles, four home runs and 14 walks while hitting .234.

Willy Adames is batting .225 with four doubles, five home runs and 19 walks.

Brian Anderson is batting .252 with five doubles, a triple, five home runs and 14 walks.

Giants and Brewers Injuries

Giants: Mike Yastrzemski: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Brandon Crawford: 10 Day IL (Calf), Darin Ruf: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Alex Wood: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Roberto Pérez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luke Jackson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis González: 60 Day IL (Back), Thomas Szapucki: 60 Day IL (Left arm), Bryce Johnson: 7 Day IL (Concussion)

Brewers: Brandon Woodruff: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Gus Varland: 15 Day IL (Hand), Matt Bush: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Adrian Houser: 15 Day IL (Groin), Garrett Mitchell: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Urías: 60 Day IL (Hamstring), Jason Alexander: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Aaron Ashby: 60 Day IL (Labrum)