Mariners vs. Astros Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 7, 2023

The Seattle Mariners (16-17) and the Houston Astros (17-16) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET. The Mariners are -134 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Astros (+114).

Bryce Miller will get the ball for Seattle while Houston will counter with Brandon Bielak.

Mariners vs. Astros Odds

• Mariners odds to win: -134
• Astros odds to win: +114
• Spread: Mariners -1.5
• Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

• Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023
• Time: 4:10 PM ET
• TV: MLB Network

Who Will Win Mariners vs. Astros?

Mariners and Astros Betting Trends

The Mariners have won 11 of the 21 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (52.4%).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -134 or shorter, Seattle has a record of 7-7 (50%).

The Astros have entered the game as underdogs 11 times this season and won eight, or 72.7%, of those games.

Houston is 2-1 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +114 or more on the moneyline.

The Mariners have combined with opponents to go over the total 17 times this season for a 17-14-2 record against the over/under.

So far this season, the Astros and their opponents have hit the over in 18 of their 33 games with a total.

Mariners Stats & Insights

The Mariners rank 14th in runs scored with 145, 4.4 per game.

Seattle is 19th in baseball with 35 total home runs.

The Mariners rank last in MLB with a .222 batting average.

Seattle’s hitters strike out 9.8 times per game, the 28th-most in MLB.

The 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Mariners pitching staff ranks 14th in the majors.

Seattle has the seventh-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.60).

Astros Stats & Insights

The Astros have scored 148 runs (4.5 per game) this season, which ranks 13th in MLB.

Houston’s 30 home runs rank 24th in Major League Baseball.

The Astros rank 17th in MLB with a .241 team batting average.

Houston has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the sixth-best strikeout rate (8.1 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Astros average 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, third-most in the league.

Houston pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.35 ERA this year, third-best in baseball.

Mariners Key Players to Watch

The Mariners will send Miller (0-0) to the mound to make his second start of the season.

Jarred Kelenic leads Seattle in homers with seven while also maintaining a team-best .300 batting average.

Ty France has 31 hits and an OBP of .340 to go with a slugging percentage of .350 this season.

J.P. Crawford has 23 hits this season and a slash line of .230/.374/.340.

Julio Rodriguez has 28 hits and an OBP of .282 to go with a slugging percentage of .392 this season.

Astros Key Players to Watch

Bielak will make his first start of the season for the Astros.

Kyle Tucker is hitting .278 with four doubles, six home runs and 21 walks.

Yordan Alvarez has shown his power as he leads his team with seven home runs and 31 runs batted in.

Alex Bregman is batting .202 with four doubles, four home runs and 23 walks.

Jeremy Pena has nine doubles, six home runs and five walks while hitting .252.

Mariners and Astros Injuries

Mariners: Dylan Moore: 10 Day IL (Olique), Easton McGee: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Andres Munoz: 15 Day IL (Deltoid), Robbie Ray: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Penn Murfee: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Evan White: 60 Day IL (Adductor), Kolten Wong: day-to-day (Wrist)

Astros: Chas McCormick: 10 Day IL (Back), Jose Altuve: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Michael Brantley: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Jose Urquidy: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Garcia: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Lance McCullers Jr.: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Parker Mushinski: 15 Day IL (Spine)

Mariners vs. Astros Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 4, Mariners 3

Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs

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