Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 7, 2023

May 7, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Los Angeles Dodgers (20-14) and the San Diego Padres (18-16) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Sunday at 7:10 PM ET. The Dodgers are -113 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Padres (-106).

Julio Urias gets the starting nod for Los Angeles while Joe Musgrove is San Diego’s starter for the contest.

Dodgers vs. Padres Odds

Dodgers odds to win: -113
Padres odds to win: -106
Spread: Dodgers -1.5
Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023
Time: 7:10 PM ET
TV: ESPN

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Who Will Win Dodgers vs. Padres?

Dodgers and Padres Betting Trends

The Dodgers have won 18 of the 31 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (58.1%).

Los Angeles has gone 18-13 (winning 58.1% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -113 or shorter.

The Padres have been underdogs in 13 games this season and won seven (53.8%) of those contests.

San Diego has a record of 6-5, a 54.5% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of -106 or more by oddsmakers this season.

The Dodgers have combined with opponents to go over the total 19 times this season for a 19-14-1 record against the over/under.

The Padres and their opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 34 games with a total this season.

Dodgers Stats & Insights

The Dodgers have the No. 5 offense in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game (186 total runs).

Los Angeles is third-best in MLB action with 55 total home runs.

The Dodgers’ .235 batting average ranks 21st in MLB.

Los Angeles’ 9.5 strikeouts per game are the fifth-most in baseball.

The Dodgers pitching staff ranks 20th in MLB with a collective 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Los Angeles has the 15th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.26).

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have scored the 20th-most runs in the league this season with 143 (4.2 per game).

San Diego’s 39 home runs rank 12th in Major League Baseball.

The Padres have a team batting average of .233 this season, which ranks 24th among MLB teams.

San Diego ranks 20th with an average of 8.9 strikeouts per game.

The Padres strike out 8.5 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 20th in MLB.

San Diego pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.20 ERA this year, which ranks 14th in MLB.

Dodgers Key Players to Watch

Urias makes the start for the Dodgers, his eighth of the season. He is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 45 strikeouts through 39 2/3 innings pitched.

Max Muncy is batting .227 this season with a team-high 12 home runs and 28 RBI.

Freddie Freeman’s batting average of .313 leads all Los Angeles hitters this season.

Mookie Betts is slashing .254/.359/.451 this season for the Dodgers.

James Outman is batting .274 with an OBP of .369 and a slugging percentage of .566 this season.

Padres Key Players to Watch

Musgrove will get the start for the Padres, his third of the season.

Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres with six home runs and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .282.

Juan Soto’s 17 runs batted in are a team-high mark.

Jake Cronenworth is hitting .243 with eight doubles, two triples, three home runs and 17 walks.

Manny Machado has five doubles, four home runs and 10 walks while batting .238.

Dodgers and Padres Injuries

Dodgers: J.D. Martínez: 10 Day IL (Back), Michael Grove: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jimmy Nelson: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Pepiot: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Daniel Hudson: 60 Day IL (Knee), Walker Buehler: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Álex Reyes: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), J.P. Feyereisen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Blake Treinen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Gavin Lux: 60 Day IL (Knee)

Padres: David Dahl: 10 Day IL (Quadricep), Jose Azocar: 10 Day IL (Elbow inflammation), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), Drew Pomeranz: 15 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)