Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 9, 2023

May 9, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Miami Marlins (17-19) serve as underdogs on the moneyline (-106) in Tuesday’s contest with the Arizona Diamondbacks (20-15). First pitch is at 9:40 PM ET on MLB Network. The Marlins are favored against the spread in this one (1.5) with +152 odds.

Brandon Pfaadt will get the ball for Arizona while Miami will counter with Jesus Luzardo.

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds

Diamondbacks odds to win: -114
Marlins odds to win: -106
Spread: Marlins -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 9, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Diamondbacks vs. Marlins?

Diamondbacks and Marlins Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have put together an 8-4 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games).

Arizona has an 8-4 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -114 or shorter.

The Marlins have won nine, or 40.9%, of the 22 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Miami is 8-13 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -106 or more on the moneyline.

The Diamondbacks have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 18 times this season for an 18-15-2 record against the over/under.

The Marlins and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 15 of their 35 opportunities.

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks are the eighth-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 5.3 runs per game (185 total).

Arizona averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 16th in MLB play with 38 total home runs .

The Diamondbacks have the second-best batting average in the league (.273).

Arizona strikes out 7.5 times per game to rank second in the majors.

The Diamondbacks pitching staff ranks 23rd in the majors with a collective 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Arizona has the 25th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.87).

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins have scored the fewest runs in the league this season with just 118 (3.3 per game).

Miami ranks 25th in Major League Baseball with 30 home runs.

The Marlins rank 15th in MLB with a .246 team batting average.

Miami ranks 18th in strikeouts per game (8.7) among MLB offenses.

The Marlins have a nine K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 11th in the majors.

Miami has pitched to a 4.67 ERA this season, which ranks 21st in baseball.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

Pfaadt (0-0) takes the mound for the Diamondbacks to make his second start this season.

Christian Walker leads Arizona in home runs (nine) and runs batted in (28) this season while batting .289.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .310 to lead Arizona, while adding five homers and 19 runs batted in this season.

Ketel Marte is slashing .264/.324/.496 this season for the Diamondbacks.

Corbin Carroll leads Arizona with a batting average of .310. He’s also hit five home runs with 11 RBI.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

The Marlins’ Luzardo (2-2) will make his eighth start of the season.

Luis Arraez has racked up a team-best batting average of .414.

Jorge Soler has put his power on display as he paces his team with seven home runs and 15 RBI.

Jon Berti is batting .267 with four doubles, two home runs and nine walks.

Yuli Gurriel is batting .269 with three doubles, three home runs and four walks.

Diamondbacks and Marlins Injuries

Diamondbacks: Kyle Lewis: 10 Day IL (Illness), Carson Kelly: 10 Day IL (Forearm), Zach Davies: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)

Marlins: Garrett Cooper: 10 Day IL (Ear infection), Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Back), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), JT Chargois: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Johnny Cueto: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness)