Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 9, 2023

May 9, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Cleveland Guardians (16-19) are set to take on the Detroit Tigers (16-18) Tuesday at 6:10 PM ET, airing on BSGL. The Guardians are listed as -199 favorites by bookmakers, while the underdog Tigers have +166 odds for the contest.

Shane Bieber will get the ball for Cleveland while Detroit will counter with Michael Lorenzen.

Guardians vs. Tigers Odds

Guardians odds to win: -199
Tigers odds to win: +166
Spread: Guardians -1.5
Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Tuesday, May 9, 2023
Time: 6:10 PM ET
TV: BSGL

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Who Will Win Guardians vs. Tigers?

Guardians and Tigers Betting Trends

The Guardians have compiled a 10-11 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 47.6% of those games).

Cleveland has not yet won a game when it entered play as moneyline favorites with odds of -199 or shorter in five chances.

This season, the Tigers have won 15 out of the 33 games, or 45.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Detroit is 6-6 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +166 or more on the moneyline.

The Guardians have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 12 times this season for a 12-21-1 record against the over/under.

The Tigers and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 18 of their 34 opportunities.

Guardians Stats & Insights

The Guardians are the second-lowest scoring team in MLB action averaging 3.5 runs per game (124 total).

Cleveland has hit the fewest home runs in MLB play this season (19).

The Guardians’ .223 batting average ranks 28th in the majors.

Cleveland strikes out 7.7 times per game, the third-fewest mark in MLB.

The Guardians pitching staff ranks last in MLB with a collective 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Cleveland’s 3.83 team ERA ranks 11th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Tigers Stats & Insights

The Tigers are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 28th with just 127 total runs (3.7 per game) this season.

Detroit has hit 30 homers this season, which ranks 25th in the majors.

The Tigers rank 24th in MLB with a .232 team batting average.

Detroit ranks 25th in strikeouts per game (9.5) among MLB offenses.

The Tigers average just 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, which ranks 28th in the league.

Detroit has pitched to a 4.53 ERA this season, which ranks 19th in baseball.

Guardians Key Players to Watch

Bieber (2-1) takes the mound for the Guardians in his eighth start of the season. He has a 2.96 ERA in 45 2/3 innings pitched, with 30 strikeouts.

Jose Ramirez leads Cleveland in home runs with four, runs batted in with 19 and his batting average of .281 is also best on his team.

Steven Kwan has 38 hits and an OBP of .368 to go with a slugging percentage of .345 this season.

Josh Bell is slashing .228/.342/.374 this season for the Guardians.

Andres Gimenez is batting .220 with an OBP of .299 and a slugging percentage of .325 this season.

Tigers Key Players to Watch

The Tigers will hand the ball to Lorenzen (1-1) for his fifth start of the season.

Javier Baez leads the Tigers with 16 runs batted in.

Riley Greene’s .269 batting average is a team-high mark.

Spencer Torkelson paces the Tigers with 16 runs batted in.

Eric Haase is hitting .297 with four doubles, two home runs and nine walks.

Guardians and Tigers Injuries

Guardians: Aaron Civale: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Cody Morris: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Tigers: Kerry Carpenter: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Trey Wingenter: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Beau Brieske: 15 Day IL (Arm), Matt Manning: 60 Day IL (Foot), Austin Meadows: 60 Day IL (Anxiety), Casey Mize: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tarik Skubal: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Freddy Pacheco: 60 Day IL (Elbow)