Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Tuesday, May 9, 2023

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Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 9, 2023

MLB Predictions

The Toronto Blue Jays (21-14) roll into Tuesday’s matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies (16-19) looking to extend a three-game winning streak. The contest starts at 6:40 PM ET on NBCS-PH with the Phillies listed as -137 favorites on the moneyline to stop the Blue Jays’ streak.

Aaron Nola will get the ball for Philadelphia while Toronto will counter with Alek Manoah.

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -137
  • Blue Jays odds to win: +116
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

  • Date: Tuesday, May 9, 2023
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET

Who Will Win Phillies vs. Blue Jays?

Phillies and Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Phillies have compiled an 11-9 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 55% of those games).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -137 or shorter, Philadelphia has gone 7-6 (53.8%).

This season, the Blue Jays have won five out of the nine games in which they’ve been the underdog.

Toronto has played as an underdog of +116 or more twice this season and split those games.

In the 35 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Phillies, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 16 times (16-18-1).

So far this season, the Blue Jays and their opponents have hit the over in 16 of their 35 games with a total.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies are the 18th-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.3 runs per game (150 total).

Philadelphia ranks 16th in baseball with 38 total home runs.

The Phillies are fourth in MLB with a .266 batting average.

Philadelphia strikes out nine times per game to rank 21st in the majors.

The Phillies pitching staff ranks sixth in the majors with a collective 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings.

Philadelphia has a 5.03 team ERA that ranks 26th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking ninth with 173 total runs this season.

Toronto has hit 40 homers this season, which ranks 13th in the majors.

The Blue Jays’ .261 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking eighth in MLB.

Toronto ranks sixth in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of eight Ks per contest.

The Blue Jays strike out 9.4 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, sixth-best in MLB.

Toronto has the 12th-ranked ERA (4.06) in the majors this season.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

Nola (2-2) takes the mound for the Phillies in his eighth start of the season. He has a 4.64 ERA in 42 2/3 innings pitched, with 33 strikeouts.

Nicholas Castellanos is batting .304 with four home runs and 22 RBI for Philadelphia this season.

Alec Bohm is a key run producer for Philadelphia with a .269 average, three homers and 25 RBI.

Brandon Marsh’s batting average of .314 leads all Philadelphia hitters this season.

Trea Turner has 39 hits and an OBP of .314 to go with a slugging percentage of .412 this season.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

The Blue Jays will hand the ball to Manoah (1-2) for his eighth start of the season.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has put up a team-best seven home runs.

Bo Bichette’s seven home runs and 22 runs batted in are both team-highs.

Matt Chapman paces the Blue Jays with a .349 batting average.

Daulton Varsho is hitting .238 with seven doubles, five home runs and 14 walks.

Phillies and Blue Jays Injuries

Phillies: Darick Hall: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), Andrew Bellatti: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Ranger Suárez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Blue Jays: Zach Pop: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow), George Springer: day-to-day (Illness)

Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Blue Jays 6, Phillies 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
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    Author: Matt Rooney

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.